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2026 Portuguese presidential election

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2026 Portuguese presidential election
← 2021
  • 18 January 2026 (first round)
  • 8 February 2026 (second round)[a]
2031 →
Opinion polls
Registered11,009,803 (Increase1.50pp)
Turnout52.39% (first round) Increase13.13pp
50.11% (second round)
Reporting
99.20%
as of 8 February, 23:12 WET
 
Candidate António José
Seguro 		André Ventura
Party PS
Supported by:
 CH
Popular vote 3,482,481 1,729,381
Percentage 66.82% 33.18%
President before election

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
PSD

President-elect

António José Seguro
PS

Presidential elections were held in Portugal in 2026, with a first round on 18 January and a second round on 8 February.[2][3] The President of Portugal has a largely ceremonial role, with no executive power, but can veto new laws and dissolve Parliament. The incumbent president, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, supported by the Social Democratic Party (PSD), had already served two terms, so was not eligible for re-election.

Fourteen potential candidates submitted formal applications, of which eleven were certified to appear on the ballot paper.[4][5] They included the former coordinator of Portugal's COVID-19 vaccination task force Henrique Gouveia e Melo,[6] who ran as an independent, and former PSD leader Luís Marques Mendes.[7] The Socialist Party (PS) supported the campaign of their former party leader António José Seguro.[8][9][10] André Ventura, the leader of Chega (CH), also stood.[11] Other candidates supported by parties were the MEPs João Cotrim de Figueiredo for Liberal Initiative (IL) and Catarina Martins for Left Bloc (BE); the former MP António Filipe for the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP); and the MP Jorge Pinto for LIVRE (L).

In the first round, António José Seguro (PS) won the most votes with 31%, while André Ventura (CH) came second with 23.5%.[12] Because no candidate reached the required 50% threshold, Seguro and Ventura faced each other in a second round run-off on 8 February.[13] This was only the second time that a direct Portuguese presidential election went to a second round, after the 1986 election.[14]

Candidates eliminated in the first round included Cotrim de Figueiredo (IL) who came third with 16%, and Gouveia e Melo (independent) fourth with 12%. Marques Mendes (PSD) received 11%, the lowest in Portuguese history for a government supported presidential candidate, surpassing the previous negative record set by Mário Soares in 2006.[15] Catarina Martins (BE) received 2%, the lowest for a female candidate in a presidential election,[16] while António Filipe (PCP) received less than 2%, the Communists' worst result in a presidential election.[17]

Overall voter turnout (including overseas) in the first round was 52 percent, thirteen percentage points higher than the previous election.[18] In Portugal itself, turnout was 61.50 percent, an increase of 16.1 percentage points compared to 2021,[19] and the highest since 2006.[18]

António José Seguro defeated André Ventura by a wide margin on the second round, 67% to 33%,[20] and became the most voted candidate ever in a Portuguese election by surpassing Soares' 1991 vote total record.[21] Overall turnout in the second round dropped to 50.1%, although the number isn't final yet.

Background

[edit]

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa was re-elected in January 2021, securing nearly 61 percent of the votes in the first round. He took the oath of office on March 9, 2021, and continued the period of cohabitation with Socialist Party Prime Minister António Costa, which lasted until April 2024. This cohabitation ended after the March 2024 elections, which saw Luís Montenegro, from the Social Democratic Party (the same party as the President), nominated as prime minister.

Within the Portuguese political system, the president serves as the head of state with primarily ceremonial duties, though the president holds some political influence and can dissolve Parliament during a crisis. The president resides at the Belém Palace in Lisbon. Since the Carnation Revolution, all Portuguese presidents have been re-elected for a second term and never tried a third, with one exception: Mário Soares (PS), who sought a non-consecutive third term in the 2006 presidential election but lost. Thus, every president since 1976 has served exactly two terms. During his decade-long presidency, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa suffered a considerable decline in his public approval according to polling.

Pre-campaign

[edit]

Admiral Henrique Gouveia e Melo, who rose to prominence as the coordinator of Portugal's COVID-19 Vaccination Task Force,[22] quickly emerged as a leading candidate in early polling as far back as mid-2022.[23] Over the next two years, he repeatedly oscillated in his public statements regarding his intentions to run, fueling speculation.[24][25][26] By November 2024, having declined to be renominated as Chief of the Naval Staff, Gouveia e Melo started preparing his path for the presidency, signaling the support from local politicians[27] and stating that he didn't want the support of any party.[28] He ultimately announced his candidacy in May 2025.[6]

Luís Marques Mendes and his wife at his campaign launch, 11 February 2025.

On the traditional centre-right, the Social Democratic Party had several high-profile potential candidates for the presidency, including the former prime ministers Pedro Passos Coelho and Pedro Santana Lopes,[29] as well as former party leaders Luís Marques Mendes and Rui Rio, and former Minister Leonor Beleza.[30] Among these, Marques Mendes soon emerged as the leading candidate, announcing his candidacy in February 2025[7] and receiving the support of the party in May 2025.[31] Meanwhile, the CDS–PP, the junior partner of PSD in the AD coalition, hoped that the former leader and former deputy prime minister, Paulo Portas, would run[32] but, after he declined to seek the presidency,[33] CDS declared support for Marques Mendes, despite internal divisions.[34]

On the centre-left, Pedro Nuno Santos announced in January 2024, after being elected as Secretary-general of the Socialist Party, that he wanted the party to support a presidential candidate in the 2026 election,[35] as the last time the PS had supported a candidate was Manuel Alegre in the 2011 presidential election. Multiple socialist figures soon emerged as potential contenders, but, as the political landscape changed, many of these started losing momentum. Former president of the Assembly of the Republic, Augusto Santos Silva, was considered as a strong candidate[36] until he lost his seat as an MP in the March 2024 legislative election.[37] The governor of the Bank of Portugal, Mário Centeno, was also considered as a strong contender,[38] due to his popularity as Minister of Finance, until he declined to run in January 2025.[39]

António José Seguro after formalizing his candidacy at the Constitutional Court, 17 December 2025.

By then, two main candidates emerged to represent the traditional left, the former PS leader, António José Seguro, who had been out of politics since 2014, and the former director-general of the International Organization for Migration, António Vitorino, as a group of high-profile socialists rejected the possibility of Seguro being the party's candidate,[40][41] even suggesting an internal referendum to decide the party's presidential candidate,[42] an idea that was ultimately rejected. Vitorino, who had by then failed to gain much support within the party's leadership as was expected,[43] ended up backing away from the race following the poor results of the PS in the May 2025 legislative election,[44] paving the way for Seguro as the clear favorite to receive the party's support in the presidential election.[45] Despite the attempt from Seguro's opponents to draft the runner-up of the 2016 presidential election, António Sampaio da Nóvoa,[46] and a final failed effort from Santos Silva to gain support to run,[47] António José Seguro ended up announcing his candidacy in June 2025,[48] receiving an almost unanimous support of the PS following the 2025 Portuguese local elections.[49]

On the left of the PS, the absence of Sampaio da Nóvoa from the race eliminated the prospects for a united left front,[50] prompting each party to run their own candidates, despite attempts from Seguro supporters for a single left-wing candidacy.[51][52][53] The Communist Party announced the candidacy of former vice president of the Assembly of the Republic, António Filipe, in June 2025,[54] with Filipe resolutely stating that he would not withraw from the race.[55] Catarina Martins, former leader of the Left Bloc, and incumbent MEP, entered the race in September 2025,[56] followed in October by Jorge Pinto, a LIVRE MP from Porto.[57] André Ventura, the leader of the radical right-wing populist Chega, and a candidate in the previous presidential election, announced his candidacy in January 2025.[58] Following unprecedentedly strong results in the May 2025 legislative election, that made him the leader of the opposition, Ventura considered alternative candidates,[59] such as Passos Coelho,[60] the former CDS leader Manuel Monteiro,[61] Major general Isidro Morais Pereira,[62] and even considered the idea of supporting Gouveia e Melo.[63] Nonetheless, Ventura ended up confirming his own candidacy in September 2025.[11]

For the liberals, with Rui Rocha's re-election as leader of the Liberal Initiative, parliamentary leader Mariana Leitão was initially designated as the party's presidential candidate.[64] However, Rocha later resigned as party leader following the 2025 legislative election, and Leitão shifted her focus to run for the liberals’ leadership, withdrawing from the presidential race.[65] In August, former leader and incumbent liberal MEP, João Cotrim de Figueiredo, announced his candidacy,[66] becoming a major right-wing contender, precluding figures, like outgoing mayor of Porto Rui Moreira, from entering the race.[67] Both People Animals Nature and Together for the People decided not to present or back any candidate for the first round of the election,[68][69] while PAN has said they would likely support a candidate in the second round.[70] Despite that, both Inês Sousa Real and Filipe Sousa, sole deputies from both parties, supported Seguro in the first round.[71]

Electoral system

[edit]
Early voting proving stamp for the 2026 presidential election.

To stand for election, candidates must be of Portuguese origin and over 35 years old, gather 7,500 signatures of support one month before the election, and submit them to the Constitutional Court of Portugal. Then, the Constitutional Court has to certify if the candidacies submitted meet the requirements to appear on the ballot.[72] A candidate must receive a majority of votes (50% plus one vote) to be elected. If no candidate achieves a majority in the first round, a runoff election (i.e., second round, held between the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round) has to be held.[72] The highest number of candidacies ever accepted was ten, in 2016. Since the Carnation Revolution, there has only ever been a single runoff election, in the 1986 Portuguese presidential election, when Diogo Freitas do Amaral (46.3% of votes in the first round and 48.8% in the second) lost to Mário Soares (25.4% in the first round and 51.2% in the second).

Early voting

[edit]

Voters were also able to vote early, with voting starting on January 5 for hospitalized and incarcerated voters and on January 6 for Portuguese citizens living abroad, ending for both groups on January 8.[73]. For citizens living in Portugal early voting occurred on 11 January, one week before election day, with voters having to register between 4 and 8 January to be eligible to cast an early ballot.[74] By the 8 January deadline, 218,481 voters (around 2% of the total of voters) had requested to vote early, a number lower than that recorded in 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic.[75] For the second round, 308,501 voters (around 3% of the total of voters) requested to cast an early ballot on 1 February, a considerably larger number than in the first round, with registration having been open between 24 and 29 January.[76]

Candidates

[edit]

Official candidates

[edit]

Candidates who formalized their candidacy and submitted enough signatures to the Constitutional Court that were accepted. The deadline to submit candidacies to the Court was 18 December 2025.[77] Candidates are ordered by how they will appear on the ballot paper.[4]

Candidate Party support Political office(s) Details Campaign announced Candidacy Formalized Ref.
André Pestana (49)
None Teacher; national leader of the Union of All Education Professionals (S.T.O.P.). Former Left Bloc (BE) and Socialist Alternative Movement (MAS) member. 21 December 2024
Website 		15 December 2025
8,000 signatures 		[78][79][80][81][82]
Jorge Pinto (38)
Member of Parliament for Porto
(since 2024) 		LIVRE (L) member and founder; environmental engineer; writer. 22 October 2025
Website 		17 December 2025
~10,000 signatures 		[57][83][84][85]
Manuel João Vieira (63)
None None Independent; perennial candidate; satirical politician; singer, vocalist of Ena Pá 2000; failed candidate in the 2001, 2011 and 2016 presidential elections. 22 September 2025
Website 		3 December 2025
12,502 signatures 		[86][87][88]
Catarina Martins (52)
Member of the European Parliament
(since 2024)
Coordinator of the Left Bloc
(2012–2023)
Member of Parliament for Porto
(2009–2023) 		Left Bloc (BE) member since 2010; actress. 10 September 2025
Website 		10 December 2025
~9,500 signatures 		[56][89]

[90]

João Cotrim de Figueiredo (64)
Member of the European Parliament
(since 2024)
President of the Liberal Initiative
(2019–2023)
Member of Parliament for Lisbon
(2019–2024) 		Liberal Initiative (IL) member; businessman; former President of the Tourism of Portugal (2013–2016). 13 August 2025
Website 		3 November 2025
~9,000 signatures 		[66][91][92]
Humberto Correia (64)
None None Independent; painter and writer; candidate for Mayor of Faro in the 2017 local election. 7 May 2021
Website 		4 December 2025
9,490 signatures 		[93][94]
António José Seguro (63)
Secretary-General of the Socialist Party
(2011–2014)
Member of the Council of State
(2011–2014)
President of the Parliamentary Group of the Socialist Party
(2004–2005)
Minister in the Cabinet of the Prime Minister
(2001–2002)
Other offices
 Socialist Party (PS) member; political commentator on CNN Portugal; university professor. 15 June 2025
Website 		15 December 2025
10,000 signatures 		[95][48][49][96][97]
Luís Marques Mendes (68)
Member of the Council of State
(since 2011)
President of the Social Democratic Party
(2005–2007)
Minister of Parliamentary Affairs
(2002–2004)
Minister in the Cabinet of the Prime Minister
(1992–1995)
Other offices
 Social Democratic Party (PSD) member from 1974 to 2025, suspending his party membership to run for president; political commentator on SIC. 6 February 2025
Website 		17 December 2025
9,350 signatures 		[7][98][31][34][99]
André Ventura (43) Leader of the Opposition
(since 2025)
President of CHEGA
(since 2019)
Member of the Council of State
(since 2024)
Member of Parliament for Lisbon
(since 2019) 		Founder of CHEGA; candidate in the 2021 presidential election, finished third with 11.9% of the votes. 4 January 2025
Website 		15 December 2025
14,200 signatures 		[58][59][11][100][101]
António Filipe (62)
Vice President of the Assembly of the Republic
(2002–2009; 2011–2015; 2019–2022)
Member of Parliament for Lisbon
(1987–2009; 2024–2025)
Member of Parliament for Santarém
(2009–2022) 		Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) member; jurist; university professor. 29 June 2025
Website 		4 December 2025
12,888 signatures 		[54][102][103][104]
Henrique Gouveia e Melo (65)
Chief of the Naval Staff
(2021–2024)
Coordinator of the COVID-19 Vaccination Plan Task Force
(2021)
Commander of the European Maritime Force
(2017–2019) 		Independent; Admiral; retired Navy officer. 29 May 2025
Website 		10 December 2025
~10,000 signatures 		[6][105][106][107]

Rejected

[edit]

Unsuccessful candidates

[edit]

Withdrew candidacy

[edit]
Ballot paper for the 2026 Portuguese presidential election. It includes Ricardo Sousa, Joana Amaral Dias and José Cardoso, candidates rejected due to insufficient signatures.

Declined

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Issues

[edit]

The first round campaign was marked by issues like the state of healthcare in Portugal; immigration; the proposed changes to labour laws;[236] the use of presidential powers, such as the use of the power to dissolve parliament; constitutional reform; foreign policy, being highlighted the war in Ukraine, the presence of Portugal in NATO, the involvement of Donald Trump in European affairs and the situation in Venezuela;[237][238][239] plus the importance of political stability to the country.[240] During the one-on-one debates, the issue of transparency also arose, with PSD supported candidate, Luís Marques Mendes, being strongly questioned about his business past and links to corporations and the government.[241]

On 23 December 2025, a court in Lisbon ordered Chega presidential candidate André Ventura to remove campaign posters targeting the Romani people within 24 hours, ruling that the materials are discriminatory and may incite hatred, or face daily fines of €2,500 (US$2,940) per poster.[242][243] Also, the last few days of the first round campaign were dominated by an accusation of sexual harassment against João Cotrim de Figueiredo by a former female IL parliamentary aid, with the candidate denying the accusation and even filing a lawsuit against the woman who accused him, despite new revelations and contradictions being reported.[244]

The campaign for the second round was limited, as bad weather across the country, and the devastating impact of Storm Kristin, after 28 January, all but put a halt to the campaign,[245] despite the discussion about the "wave" of center-right endorsements for Seguro and the government's response to the storm aftermath being dominant.[246][247][248]

Candidates' slogans

[edit]
Candidate Original slogan English translation Ref.
António José Seguro « Futuro Seguro » "Safe Future" [249]
André Ventura « Os Portugueses Primeiro » "The Portuguese First" [250]
João Cotrim de Figueiredo
  • « Imagina Portugal »
  • « Um Presidente com o perfil certo »
  • "Imagine Portugal"
  • "A President with the right profile"
 [249]
Henrique Gouveia e Melo « O meu partido é Portugal » "My party is Portugal" [249]
Luís Marques Mendes « O valor da experiência » "The value of experience" [249]
Catarina Martins « Contigo » "With you" [249]
António Filipe « Com o Povo, por Abril, por Portugal » "With the People, for April, for Portugal" [249]
Manuel João Vieira « Só desisto se for eleito » "I'll only give up if I'm elected" [251]
Jorge Pinto « Presidente Presente » "Present President" [252]
André Pestana « É hora de abrir a pestana » "It's time to open your eyes" [253]
Humberto Correia « Agir para construir Portugal » "Acting to build Portugal" [254]

Candidates' debates

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The three main TV channels in Portugal, RTP1, SIC and TVI, agreed to host 28 one-on-one debates between the 8 main candidates on the ballot for the first round.[255] However, this format was challenged, as the three main broadcasters were accused of forcing an exclusivity agreement so that the debates only take place on these three channels.[256] CMTV filed a complaint to the Electoral Commission [pt] (CNE) against RTP, SIC and TVI, accusing the networks of an "anti-competitive matrix".[257] The channels denied such agreement, but the media regulator ruled in favour of CMTV and advised for the debate format to include the plaintiff.[258] Despite this advise, the 3 channels decided to not change the format.[259] Radio stations also hosted a debate with the 8 main candidates,[260] while RTP1 hosted a debate with all 11 candidates on the ballot.[261]

2026 Portuguese presidential election debates
Date Time Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[b]    S  Surrogate[c]    NI  Not invited   I  Invited    A  Absent invitee 
Gouveia e Melo
Humberto Correia
 Viewers
(Average
audience) 		Ref.
Ind. PSD PS CH IL BE CDU L Ind. Ind. Ind.
17 Nov 2025 9PM TVI José Alberto Carvalho NI NI P P NI NI NI NI NI NI NI 1,052,872 [262][263]
18 Nov 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa NI P NI NI NI NI P NI NI NI NI 877,643 [264][265]
20 Nov 2025 RTP1 Vítor Gonçalves P NI NI NI P NI NI NI NI NI NI 659,884 [266][267]
23 Nov 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa P NI NI NI NI P NI NI NI NI NI 947,219 [268][269]
24 Nov 2025 RTP1 Vítor Gonçalves NI NI NI NI P NI NI P NI NI NI 483,287 [270][271]
25 Nov 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa NI P NI P NI NI NI NI NI NI NI 1,242,261 [272][273]
26 Nov 2025 TVI José Alberto Carvalho P NI NI NI NI NI NI P NI NI NI 737,593 [274][275]
28 Nov 2025 TVI José Alberto Carvalho NI NI NI P NI P NI NI NI NI NI 1,006,094 [276][277]
29 Nov 2025 RTP1 Vítor Gonçalves NI P NI NI NI NI NI P NI NI NI 479,279 [278][277]
30 Nov 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa NI NI NI NI P NI P NI NI NI NI 684,048 [279][277]
1 Dec 2025 RTP1 Carlos Daniel NI NI P NI NI NI NI P NI NI NI 502,827 [280][277]
2 Dec 2025 TVI José Alberto Carvalho P NI NI NI NI NI P NI NI NI NI 798,149 [281][282]
3 Dec 2025 RTP1 Carlos Daniel NI P P NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI 618,265 [283][284]
4 Dec 2025 TVI José Alberto Carvalho NI NI NI NI P P NI NI NI NI NI 877,863 [285][286]
6 Dec 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa NI NI P NI NI P NI NI NI NI NI 843,242 [287][288]
7 Dec 2025 TVI José Alberto Carvalho NI P NI NI P NI NI NI NI NI NI 781,404 [289][288]
8 Dec 2025 RTP1 Carlos Daniel NI NI NI NI NI NI P P NI NI NI 489,918 [290][288]
9 Dec 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa P NI P NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI 937,825 [291][292]
10 Dec 2025 RTP1 Carlos Daniel NI NI NI NI NI P P NI NI NI NI 403,857 [293][294]
11 Dec 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa NI NI NI P NI NI NI P NI NI NI 876,486 [295][294]
12 Dec 2025 RTP1 Carlos Daniel NI P NI NI NI P NI NI NI NI NI 601,245 [296][297]
13 Dec 2025 RTP1 Vítor Gonçalves NI NI NI P NI NI P NI NI NI NI 616,336 [298][297]
15 Dec 2025 RTP1 Carlos Daniel P NI NI P NI NI NI NI NI NI NI 952,009 [299][300]
16 Dec 2025 RTP1 Vítor Gonçalves NI NI P NI P NI NI NI NI NI NI 737,159 [301][302]
19 Dec 2025 SIC Clara de Sousa NI NI NI P P NI NI NI NI NI NI 916,011 [303][304]
20 Dec 2025 TVI José Alberto Carvalho NI NI P NI NI NI P NI NI NI NI 566,655 [305][304]
21 Dec 2025 RTP1 Vítor Gonçalves NI NI NI NI NI P NI P NI NI NI 407,255 [306][304]
22 Dec 2025 TVI José Alberto Carvalho P P NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI 800,224 [307][308]
2 Jan 2026 9:30
AM 		Antena 1
TSF
Renascença
Observador 		Natália Carvalho
Susana Madureira Martins
Judith Menezes e Sousa
Rui Pedro Nunes 		P P P P P P P P NI NI NI N/a [309]
5 Jan 2026 10AM Antena 1 Natália Carvalho NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI P P P N/a [310]
6 Jan 2026 10PM RTP1 Carlos Daniel P P P P P P P P P P P 405,000 [261][311]
Candidate viewed as "most convincing" in each debate or debates
Date Time Organisers Polling firm
Ind. PSD PS CH IL BE CDU L Ind. Ind. Ind. Notes
Debates 17 Nov – 3 Dec 2025 Aximage 11 22 11 22 15 6 3 4 N/a N/a N/a [d]
Debates 17 Nov 2025 – 5 Jan 2026 Aximage 9 16 14 29 15 4 2 4 N/a N/a N/a [e]

Second round

[edit]

The three main TV channels, RTP1, SIC and TVI, agreed to invite the two candidates in the second round for a debate, with both Seguro and Ventura accepting the invitation. The debate was held on 27 January and broadcast simultaneously by the three major networks.[312] Radio stations also invited the two candidates for a one-on-one debate, but the Seguro campaign rejected this invitation and a debate was not be held.[313]

2026 Portuguese presidential election debates
Date Time Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[f]    I  Invited  
Viewers
(Average
audience) 		Ref.
PS CH
27 Jan 2026 8:30PM RTP1
SIC
TVI 		Carlos Daniel
Clara de Sousa
Sara Pinto 		P P 3,072,401 [314][315]
Candidate viewed as "most convincing" in the debate
Date Time Organisers Polling firm
PS CH Notes
27 Jan 2026 8:30PM RTP1, SIC, TVI Pitagórica 41 16 [g]
Aximage 57 34 [h]

Endorsements

[edit]
Main article: Endorsements in the 2026 Portuguese presidential election
Endorsements from first-round candidates
First-round candidate First round Endorsement Ref.
João Cotrim de Figueiredo 16.00% Against Ventura[i] [316]
Henrique Gouveia e Melo 12.32% António José Seguro [317]
Luís Marques Mendes 11.30% António José Seguro [318]
Catarina Martins 2.06% António José Seguro [319]
António Filipe 1.64% António José Seguro [320]
Manuel João Vieira 1.08% No endorsement
Jorge Pinto 0.68% António José Seguro [321]
André Pestana 0.19% António José Seguro [322]
Humberto Correia 0.08% No endorsement [323]
Party endorsements in the second round
Candidate Parties Ref.
António José Seguro PS [49]
Volt [97]
LIVRE [324]
PCP [325]
PEV [326]
BE [327]
PAN [328]
André Ventura CH [59]
ADN [329]
No endorsement PSD[j] [331]
IL[j] [332]
CDS–PP[j] [333]
JPP[k] [335]
PCTP/MRPP [336]

Opinion polling

[edit]
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2026 Portuguese presidential election

First round

[edit]
This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling for the 2026 Portuguese presidential election § Graphical summary.[edit]
Graph of the polling for the 2026 Portuguese presidential election.
Graph of the polling for the 2026 Portuguese presidential election.

Polling aggregations

[edit]
Polling aggregator Last update Lead
PSD PS CH CDU BE IL Ind. L
First round results 18 Jan 2026 11.3 31.1 23.5 1.6 2.1 16.0 12.3 0.7 7.6
Observador 16 Jan 2026 12.9 22.8 22.9 2.4 2.3 20.1 12.7 1.2 0.1
Renascença 16 Jan 2026 14.8 20.8 21.7 1.7 2.2 17.9 14.5 1.3 0.9
Público 13 Jan 2026 16.1 20.2 21.7 2.2 3.0 18.6 15.2 1.5 1.5

Second round

[edit]

Polling aggregations

[edit]
Polling aggregator Last update Lead
PS CH
Second round results 8 Feb 2026 66.8 33.2 33.6
Observador 6 Feb 2026 67.4 32.6 34.8
Renascença 3 Feb 2026 68.3 31.7 36.6
Público 2 Feb 2026 65.6 34.4 31.2

Campaign budgets

[edit]
Candidate (Party) Election
result 		State subsidy Political
parties
contributions 		Fundraising Total revenue Expenses Debt
Calculated Budgeted Calculated Budgeted
António José Seguro (PS, Volt) 31.1% €1,092,720 €0 €170,000 €1,487,720 €1,130,000
André Ventura (CH) 23.5% €400,000 €300,000 €150,000 €900,000 €900,000
João Cotrim de Figueiredo (IL) 16.0% €350,000 €0 €150,000 €500,000 €500,000
Henrique Gouveia e Melo (PPM) 12.3% €700,000 €0 €305,000 €1,025,000 €1,025,000
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD, CDS–PP) 11.3% €1,000,000 €0 €320,000 €1,320,000 €1,320,000
Catarina Martins (BE) 2.1% €0 €47,450 €0 €3,000 €50,450 €50,450
António Filipe (PCP, PEV) 1.6% €0 €300,000 €80,000 €15,000 €395,000 €395,000
Manuel João Vieira (Ind.) 1.1% €0 €0 €0 €860 €860 €860
Jorge Pinto (L) 0.7% €0 €87,000 €0 €10,000 €97,000 €97,000
André Pestana (MAS) 0.2% €0 €0 €0 €6,200 €7,200
Humberto Correia (Ind.) 0.1% €0
Source: Portuguese Constitutional Court (TC)[337]

Voter turnout

[edit]

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day including voters from Overseas.

First round

[edit]
Turnout Time
12:00 16:00 19:00
2021 2026 ± 2021 2026 ± 2021 2026 ±
Total 17.07% 21.18% Increase 4.11 pp 35.44% 45.51% Increase 10.07 pp 39.26% 52.39% Increase 13.13 pp
Sources[338][339]

Voter turnout was higher in the first round compared to 2021, with 5.77 million voters casting a ballot, the second highest number of votes cast in a first round presidential election in Portuguese history, only surpassed by the 1980 turnout, and the third highest turnout in a national election in 30 years, only behind the 2024 and 2025 legislative elections.[340] In Portugal alone, the turnout rate stood at 61.50 percent, an increase of 16.05 percent compared with 2021,[341] while in Overseas constituencies, Europe and Outside of Europe, the turnout rate also increased to 4.09%, compared with the 1.88% from 2021.[342] The overall share of voter turnout, Portugal alone and Overseas combined, stood at 52.39%, a 13.13 percent increase compared with 2021.[343]

Second round

[edit]
Turnout Time
12:00 16:00 19:00
1st 2nd ± 1st 2nd ± 1st 2nd ±
Total 21.18% 22.35% Increase 1.17 pp 45.51% 45.50% Decrease 0.01 pp 52.39% 50.11% Decrease 2.28 pp
Sources[338][344]

Due to Storm Kristin and its resulting floods, some localities postponed the second round voting to 15 February: the municipalities of Alcácer do Sal, Arruda dos Vinhos, Golegã, and parts of the municipalities of Cartaxo (parish of Valada), Leiria (parish of Bidoeira de Cima), Rio Maior (parish of Alcobertas and part of parish of Rio Maior), Salvaterra de Magos (parish of Salvaterra de Magos), and Santarém (parts of the city of Santarém and of the parish of São Vicente do Paul).[345][346] These localities comprised 36,852 registered voters.[1]

Results

[edit]
Seguro delivering his victory speech on 18 January 2026

Seguro was the clear winner of the first round, winning 18 districts, while Ventura won only Faro and Madeira;[347] however, voters overseas gave a clear victory to Ventura.[348] In terms of municipalities, Seguro won 225 out of the country's 308 municipalities, while Ventura was the winner in 80 of them, and Marques Mendes only won 3 municipalities.[349]

In his first round victory speech, Seguro said he that he is "free" and "lives without shackles", adding that there were "no losers" because "we are all democrats". Ventura criticized "socialism" during his election night speech, saying he would "lead the non-socialist space in Portugal" and that "socialism kills, socialism corrupts". João Cotrim Figueiredo criticized Prime Minister Luís Montenegro, who announced his neutrality in the second round, saying that he was to blame for the country having a "President from the PS". Henrique Gouveia e Melo conceded defeat, saying the results "did not meet the objectives" he had set, and that there was the "need to depoliticize the Presidency of the Republic". Luís Marques Mendes also conceded defeat, assuming full responsibility for the outcome. Catarina Martins, António Filipe, and Jorge Pinto endorsed Seguro in their election night speeches.[350]

In the second round, Seguro achieved a landslide victory, winning 303 out of 308 municipalities and all 20 districts, albeit losing the overseas vote to Ventura.[351][352] In his speech as President-elect, Seguro promised political stability and "loyalty and institutional cooperation" with the government, while being a "demanding President".[353] Ventura conceded defeat, but pointed that the results are just a "path" to change and leading the government of Portugal, saying that the party now leads the "right in Portugal".[354]

National summary

[edit]
99.20% reporting
CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
António José SeguroSocialist Party[l]1,755,56331.113,482,48166.82
André VenturaChega1,327,02123.521,729,38133.18
João Cotrim de FigueiredoLiberal Initiative903,05716.00
Henrique Gouveia e MeloIndependent[m]695,37712.32
Luís Marques MendesSocial Democratic Party[n]637,44211.30
Catarina MartinsLeft Bloc116,4072.06
António FilipePortuguese Communist Party[o]92,6441.64
Manuel João VieiraIndependent60,9271.08
Jorge PintoLIVRE38,5880.68
André PestanaIndependent[p]10,8970.19
Humberto CorreiaIndependent4,7730.08
Total5,642,696100.005,211,862100.00
Valid votes5,642,69697.825,211,86295.05
Invalid votes64,5651.1297,7141.78
Blank votes61,2751.06173,8063.17
Total votes5,768,536100.005,483,382100.00
Registered voters/turnout11,009,80352.3910,942,17350.11
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições[343][355]

Results by district

[edit]

First round

[edit]
District Seguro Ventura Cotrim Gouveia Mendes Martins Filipe Vieira Pinto Pestana Correia Turnout
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
  Aveiro 110,454 28.60% 88,367 22.88% 63,199 16.37% 50,320 13.03% 56,534 14.64% 7,596 1.97% 3,001 0.78% 3,366 0.87% 2,311 0.60% 738 0.19% 269 0.07% 61.56%
  Azores 28,714 30.79% 24,938 26.74% 12,038 12.91% 9,766 10.47% 12,879 13.81% 2,469 2.65% 589 0.63% 940 1.01% 614 0.66% 213 0.23% 88 0.09% 42.15%
  Beja 22,844 33.70% 19,538 28.82% 6,472 9.55% 7,871 11.61% 3,969 5.86% 1,429 2.11% 4,313 6.36% 771 1.14% 338 0.50% 172 0.25% 67 0.10% 58.60%
  Braga 157,297 30.76% 114,655 22.42% 84,458 16.51% 54,966 10.75% 78,741 15.40% 8,872 1.73% 4,407 0.86% 3,399 0.66% 3,142 0.61% 1,003 0.20% 483 0.09% 66.76%
  Bragança 19,291 30.79% 17,496 27.93% 6,159 9.83% 7,203 11.50% 10,513 16.78% 684 1.09% 377 0.60% 453 0.72% 255 0.41% 145 0.23% 72 0.11% 48.37%
  Castelo Branco 39,838 40.20% 23,331 23.54% 11,086 11.19% 11,763 11.87% 8,793 8.87% 1,566 1.58% 1,071 1.08% 912 0.92% 477 0.48% 169 0.17% 87 0.09% 62.39%
  Coimbra 77,884 35.47% 42,897 19.54% 32,712 14.90% 29,436 13.41% 24,659 11.23% 4,330 1.97% 3,072 1.40% 2,634 1.20% 1,299 0.59% 531 0.24% 127 0.06% 60.70%
  Évora 26,748 33.46% 19,847 24.83% 10,563 13.21% 10,403 13.01% 5,683 7.11% 1,550 1.94% 3,563 4.46% 1,038 1.30% 359 0.45% 122 0.15% 60 0.08% 61.51%
  Faro 57,217 26.93% 70,148 33.02% 27,652 13.01% 26,561 12.50% 17,691 8.33% 5,120 2.41% 2,901 1.37% 2,871 1.35% 1,378 0.65% 562 0.26% 368 0.17% 56.48%
  Guarda 27,387 35.91% 18,852 24.72% 7,988 10.47% 8,889 11.66% 10,479 13.74% 1,020 1.34% 484 0.63% 554 0.73% 356 0.47% 175 0.23% 75 0.10% 56.34%
  Leiria 72,835 29.17% 57,635 23.08% 43,085 17.25% 32,072 12.84% 31,626 12.66% 4,484 1.80% 2,745 1.10% 3,143 1.26% 1,494 0.60% 437 0.17% 169 0.07% 62.10%
  Lisbon 389,637 32.45% 240,907 20.06% 231,764 19.30% 155,815 12.98% 104,005 8.66% 25,742 2.14% 25,017 2.08% 16,946 1.41% 8,427 0.70% 1,726 0.14% 679 0.06% 64.12%
  Madeira 30,608 22.81% 44,822 33.40% 19,296 14.38% 10,882 8.11% 19,690 14.67% 5,119 3.81% 758 0.56% 1,167 0.87% 1,105 0.82% 546 0.41% 217 0.16% 54.40%
  Portalegre 16,660 31.09% 16,600 30.98% 6,095 11.37% 6,849 12.78% 4,183 7.81% 827 1.54% 1,494 2.79% 549 1.02% 201 0.38% 77 0.14% 52 0.10% 59.25%
  Porto 321,184 31.77% 211,015 20.87% 176,906 17.50% 122,778 12.14% 124,681 12.33% 21,898 2.17% 12,654 1.25% 7,977 0.79% 9,190 0.91% 1,944 0.19% 761 0.08% 64.96%
  Santarém 65,808 28.58% 64,554 28.04% 33,840 14.70% 30,658 13.32% 22,108 9.60% 4,206 1.83% 4,160 1.81% 2,970 1.29% 1,352 0.59% 429 0.19% 152 0.07% 62.25%
  Setúbal 147,961 32.24% 113,990 24.84% 64,258 14.00% 62,704 13.66% 28,937 6.31% 11,557 2.52% 17,895 3.90% 7,344 1.60% 3,156 0.69% 772 0.17% 372 0.08% 61.88%
  Viana do Castelo 37,281 28.73% 31,941 24.61% 18,113 13.96% 16,785 12.93% 19,969 15.39% 2,022 1.56% 1,401 1.08% 1,015 0.78% 842 0.65% 270 0.21% 140 0.11% 57.25%
  Vila Real 31,778 30.75% 26,826 25.96% 11,308 10.94% 12,182 11.79% 17,433 16.87% 1,345 1.30% 772 0.75% 764 0.74% 520 0.50% 256 0.25% 170 0.16% 51.27%
  Viseu 57,315 30.03% 49,174 25.77% 24,796 12.99% 23,586 12.36% 29,236 15.32% 2,632 1.38% 1,215 0.64% 1,453 0.76% 855 0.45% 387 0.20% 186 0.10% 58.45%
  Overseas 17,023 23.69% 29,409 40.93% 11,413 15.88% 3,755 5.23% 5,726 7.97% 1,945 2.71% 745 1.04% 668 0.93% 915 1.27% 222 0.31% 28 0.04% 4.09%
Source:[19]

Second round

[edit]
District Seguro Ventura Turnout
Votes % Votes %
  Aveiro 242,501 67.50% 116,769 32.50% 58.91%
  Azores 60,900 66.44% 30,755 33.56% 41.69%
  Beja 41,013 62.45% 24,657 37.55% 58.03%
  Braga 318,071 67.04% 156,388 32.96% 63.99%
  Bragança 36,199 60.85% 23,290 39.15% 46.97%
  Castelo Branco 64,131 68.61% 29,339 31.39% 60.06%
  Coimbra 146,769 72.18% 56,582 27.82% 57.69%
  Évora 49,607 65.80% 25,787 34.20% 59.76%
  Faro 114,728 56.89% 86,933 43.11% 54.79%
  Guarda 47,633 65.85% 24,703 34.15% 54.63%
  Leiria 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.00%
  Lisbon 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.00%
  Madeira 76,387 56.17% 59,600 43.83% 55.30%
  Portalegre 29,900 59.19% 20,616 40.81% 57.20%
  Porto 657,001 70.10% 280,224 29.90% 62.07%
  Santarém 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.00%
  Setúbal 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.00%
  Viana do Castelo 78,264 64.68% 42,740 35.32% 54.94%
  Vila Real 61,904 63.48% 35,612 36.52% 49.50%
  Viseu 114,840 64.05% 64,445 35.95% 56.28%
  Overseas 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.00%
Source:[356]

Maps

[edit]

Demographics

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Demographic Size Seguro Ventura Cotrim Gouveia Mendes Others
Total vote 100% 31.1% 23.5% 16.0% 12.3% 11.3% 5.8%
Sex
Men N/a 28% 25% 20% 10% 10% 7%
Women N/a 38% 19% 16% 11% 11% 5%
Age
18–34 years old N/a 30% 20% 33% 5% 6% 6%
35–64 years old N/a 31% 27% 18% 11% 8% 5%
65+ years old N/a 37% 18% 10% 15% 16% 4%
Education
No High-school N/a 32% 34% 5% 13% 13% 3%
High-school N/a 26% 29% 19% 10% 9% 7%
College graduate N/a 38% 11% 25% 10% 10% 6%
Vote decision
Less than a week ago N/a 38% 14% 19% 12% 11% 6%
A week or more ago N/a 31% 25% 19% 10% 11% 4%
2025 Legislative vote
AD 32% 17% 7% 31% 14% 29% 2%
PS 23% 71% 7% 5% 11% 3% 3%
CH 23% 3% 82% 8% 4% 2% 1%
Source: ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica exit poll[357][358]

Second round

[edit]
Demographic Size Seguro Ventura
Total vote 100% 66.8% 33.2%
Sex
Men N/a 63% 37%
Women N/a 75% 25%
Age
18–34 years old N/a 65% 35%
35–64 years old N/a 65% 35%
65+ years old N/a 76% 24%
Education
No High-school N/a 65% 35%
High-school N/a 61% 39%
College graduate N/a 78% 22%
Source: ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica exit poll[359]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Postponed to 15 February 2026 in the municipalities of Alcácer do Sal, Arruda dos Vinhos, Golegã, and parts of the municipalities of Cartaxo, Leiria, Rio Maior, Salvaterra de Magos, and Santarém.[1]
  2. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  3. ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  4. ^ Undecided: 7%.
  5. ^ Undecided: 8%.
  6. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  7. ^ Tie: 7%; Neither: 4%; Didn't watch: 29%; Undecided: 3%.
  8. ^ Doesn't know: 9%.
  9. ^ Cotrim de Figueiredo refused to endorse either candidate, although he made clear that he would not vote for Ventura and would not spoil his ballot.
  10. ^ a b c While the official party's or presidential candidate's position was not to endorse either presidential candidate in the second round, certain individuals within the party have publicly announced their support for Seguro and the intention to vote for him in the second round.[330]
  11. ^ While JPP has previously voted not to endorse any candidate in the first and second rounds, the party's only member of the Assembly of the Republic Filipe Sousa has endorsed Seguro.[334]
  12. ^ Also supported by Volt Portugal.
  13. ^ Supported by the People's Monarchist Party.
  14. ^ Also supported by CDS – People's Party.
  15. ^ Also supported by the Ecologist Party "The Greens".
  16. ^ Supported by the Socialist Alternative Movement.

References

[edit]
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  2. ^ "Eleições presidenciais deverão ser marcadas para 18 de Janeiro de 2026". Público. 14 September 2025. Retrieved 14 September 2025.
  3. ^ "Presidential Elections are scheduled". The Portugal News. 30 October 2025. Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  4. ^ a b R. Malhado, Alexandre (19 December 2025). "Gouveia e Melo vai em último nos boletins de voto que batem recorde de 14 candidatos". Expresso. Retrieved 19 December 2025.
  5. ^ a b c d Borges, Liliana (23 December 2025). "Joana Amaral Dias, José Cardoso e Ricardo Sousa ficam fora da corrida presidencial". Público. Retrieved 23 December 2025.
  6. ^ a b c "Gouveia e Melo lança candidatura à Presidência da República". RTP (in Portuguese). 29 May 2025. Retrieved 29 May 2025.
  7. ^ a b c "Marques Mendes apresenta candidatura às eleições presidenciais". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 6 February 2025. Retrieved 6 February 2025.
  8. ^ ""Se Augusto Santos Silva não for candidato não vejo como será possível o PS não apoiar António José Seguro", diz Duarte Cordeiro". Now Canal (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2 July 2025.
  9. ^ "Decisão do PS de apoio a Seguro já tem data: 19 de outubro (uma semana depois das autárquicas)". Expresso (in Portuguese). 17 September 2025. Retrieved 19 September 2025.
  10. ^ "Presidenciais: Carneiro insiste que eventual apoio do PS só será decidido após autárquicas". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 2 July 2025. Retrieved 2 July 2025.
  11. ^ a b c "Presidenciais. André Ventura avança com candidatura a Belém". RTP (in Portuguese). 16 September 2025. Retrieved 16 September 2025.
  12. ^ "Socialist, far-right candidate head for Portugal's presidential runoff". Reuters. 18 January 2026. Retrieved 18 January 2026.
  13. ^ "Center left wins Portugal presidential election first round, exit poll says". Politico. 18 January 2026. Retrieved 18 January 2026.
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  16. ^ "Catarina Martins foi a quinta mulher candidata e a que teve mais baixa votação". Observador. 19 January 2026. Retrieved 19 January 2026.
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  26. ^ ""Quando eu digo não é não." Gouveia e Melo afasta candidatura à presidência – Renascença". Rádio Renascença (in European Portuguese). 18 May 2023. Retrieved 21 November 2025.
  27. ^ "Gouveia e Melo deverá anunciar candidatura presidencial em março". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 21 November 2025.
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  30. ^ a b ""Seria uma excelente candidata", Hugo Soares lança nome de Leonor Beleza para a lista de candidatos a Belém". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 23 August 2024. Retrieved 24 August 2024.
  31. ^ a b Ralha, Leonardo (30 May 2025). "Palmira Lobo foi a única a votar contra apoio a Marques Mendes no Conselho Nacional do PSD". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 31 May 2025.
  32. ^ Almeida, São José (11 February 2025). "CDS distante de Marques Mendes, continua à espera de Paulo Portas". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 21 November 2025.
  33. ^ Cunha, Mariana Lima. "Sem Portas, CDS inclina-se para apoio pragmático a Marques Mendes". Observador (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 21 November 2025.
  34. ^ a b Lourenço, Eunice (20 November 2025). "Direção do CDS declara apoio a Mendes, com partido dividido". Expresso (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 November 2025.
  35. ^ Ralha, Leonardo (6 January 2024). "Pedro Nuno Santos garante que PS terá candidato presidencial em 2026". Diário de Notícias. Retrieved 21 November 2025.
  36. ^ a b Duarte, José Carlos. ""Nunca digas nunca" e "futuro a Deus pertence." Santos Silva não descarta candidatar-se à Presidência da República". Observador (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 31 March 2022.
  37. ^ "Santos Silva reconhece "derrota política e pessoal" e "abranda" nas presidenciais". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Lusa. 21 March 2024. Retrieved 21 November 2025.
  38. ^ "Centeno e Gouveia e Melo: como eles alimentam dois tabus presidenciais à espera do Governo". Expresso (in Portuguese). 10 October 2024. Retrieved 21 November 2025.
  39. ^ "Mário Centeno fora da corrida a Belém: "Não vou ser candidato a Presidente da República"". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 15 January 2025. Retrieved 21 November 2025.
  40. ^ Begonha, Ana Bacelar (18 January 2025). "Santos Silva: Vitorino "cumpre todos os requisitos", Seguro não cumpre "mínimos"". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 21 November 2025.
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  55. ^ "António Filipe recusa desistir de corrida a Belém a favor de outra candidatura". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Lusa. 15 October 2025. Retrieved 21 November 2025.
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  57. ^ a b Borges, Liliana (21 October 2025). "Jorge Pinto, do Livre, será candidato a Belém para "defender os ideais da República"". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 21 October 2025.
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  60. ^ ""Tinha preferido que Passos Coelho fosse candidato": André Ventura oficializa candidatura a Presidente da República". Now Canal (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 21 November 2025.
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