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2026 Japanese general election

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2026 Japanese general election
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8 February 2026 (2026-02-08)
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All 465 seats in the House of Representatives
233 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout55.68% (Increase1.84pp; Const. votes)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Sanae Takaichi Yoshihiko Noda
Tetsuo Saito 		Hirofumi Yoshimura
Fumitake Fujita
Party LDP Centrist Reform Ishin
Leader's seat Nara 2nd Chiba 14th
North Kanto PR
 Did not stand[b]
Osaka 12th
Last election 191 seats 172 seats[a] 38 seats
Seats before 198 167 34
Seats won 316 49 36
Seat change Increase 125 Decrease 123 Decrease 2
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Yuichiro Tamaki Sohei Kamiya Takahiro Anno
Party DPP Sanseitō Team Mirai
Leader's seat Kagawa 2nd Did not stand[c] Did not stand[c]
Last election 28 seats 3 seats Did not exist
Seats before 27 2 0
Seats won 28 15 11
Seat change Steady Increase 12 Increase 11
  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
 
Leader Tomoko Tamura Kazuhiro Haraguchi
Takashi Kawamura 		Taro Yamamoto
Party JCP Tax Cuts Reiwa
Leader's seat Tokyo PR Saga 1st
(lost re-election)
Aichi 1st 		Did not stand
Last election 8 seats Did not exist 9 seats
Seats before 8 5 8
Seats won 4 1 1
Seat change Decrease 4 Increase 1 Decrease 8
Prime Minister before election

Sanae Takaichi
LDP

Elected Prime Minister

Sanae Takaichi
LDP

Election board in Shibuya, Tokyo

Early general elections were held in Japan on 8 February 2026 to elect all 465 seats of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet.[1] Voting took place in all constituencies, including proportional blocks, to elect all 465 members of the House of Representatives.[2]

The election took place nearly four months into Sanae Takaichi's tenure as Prime Minister of Japan, which began on 21 October after she won the 2025 Liberal Democratic Party presidential election and formed the Liberal Democratic Party–Japan Innovation Party coalition (LDP–JIP). The election also saw the debut of the Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), a new political party formed as a merger between the primary opposition Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) and Komeito, the LDP's former longtime coalition partner. Takaichi described the election as a public referendum on her leadership as prime minister, and of the LDP–JIP coalition.[3]

The election resulted in a historic landslide victory for the governing coalition, with the LDP regaining its majority in the House and setting a new record for the most seats won by a party in Japanese post-WWII electoral history with 316 seats. This gives the party a two-thirds supermajority in its own right,and surpasses the previous record of 308 seats won by the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) in 2009. Meanwhile, the CRA severely underperformed, losing more than two-thirds of its pre-election seats. Other parties that gained seats included the ultraconservative and far-right party Sanseitō and the new E-democracy party Team Mirai. Analysts credited the LDP's victory to Takaichi's high personal popularity at the time of the election.[4][5]

Background

[edit]

Resignation of Shigeru Ishiba

[edit]

The 2024 Japanese general election and 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election both resulted in the loss of majorities for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito governing coalition under Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba.[6][7] After both elections, Ishiba invoked a parliamentary plurality in both houses, and believed the LDP had a responsibility to lead the government, as it would in most other parliamentary democracies.[8] Pressure continued to mount on Ishiba to resign as the LDP president, but he refused and said he planned to continue serving as Prime Minister.[9]

On 7 September, Ishiba announced that he would resign as president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan.[10][11][12] Ishiba stated he sought to claim "responsibility" as party leader for losses in recent elections, and to avoid dividing the party.[13] Ishiba's announcement effectively cancelled the emergency election process entirely. He instead instructed LDP Secretary-General Hiroshi Moriyama, whose resignation had not been accepted by Ishiba, to begin the process to hold an extraordinary presidential election.[14] Ishiba said he determined now was the "appropriate time" to step aside, after a written version of the Japan–U.S. tariff agreement had been finalized.[15] Ishiba promised to continue serving as Prime Minister until a new leader was elected, and did not endorse a candidate in the subsequent election. His tenure lasted about one year.[16] In the 2025 LDP leadership election on 5 October, Takaichi was elected as the LDP's first female president. In her first acts as party president, Takaichi appointed Tarō Asō as vice president and Shun'ichi Suzuki as secretary-general of the LDP.[17]

Premiership of Sanae Takaichi

[edit]
See also: Liberal Democratic Party–Japan Innovation Party coalition

On 10 October, Komeito chief representative Tetsuo Saito announced that it would leave the ruling coalition, over disagreements with Takaichi's leadership and the party's handling of the 2023–2024 Japanese slush fund scandal, ending 26 years of the LDP–Komeito coalition.[18] Following this, the vote to confirm Takaichi as prime minister was delayed to 20 October.[18] On 20 October, Takaichi and the Japan Innovation Party (Ishin) leader Hirofumi Yoshimura agreed to sign a coalition agreement. Takaichi was elected prime minister by the Diet on 21 October, with the support of Ishin and independents, and the right-wing conservative coalition was formed.[19]

Early election call

[edit]

On 13 January 2026, it emerged that Takaichi had communicated her intention to dissolve the House of Representatives,[20][21] when it re-convened on 23 January to senior LDP officials.[22][23] Subsequently, the LDP instructed its prefectural chapters to register general election candidates by 19 January.[24] Japanese national broadcaster NHK reported that the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications had instructed prefectural election boards to prepare for a general election.[25] In response to an apparently leaked LDP projection of the results of an election, LDP officials said that "260 seats seems like too much in reality", and that "within the party, it's assumed that at least a single majority of 233 seats will be won".[26] On 19 January, Takaichi officially announced her intention to dissolve the House of Representatives on 23 January at a press conference.[27] Campaigning would begin on 27 January, with election day beginning after polls opened on 8 February.[28][29]

CDP–Komeito merger

[edit]
Main article: Centrist Reform Alliance

In response to the reports of an imminent election, the CDP considered forming a new political alliance with opposition parties to run a single proportional representation list against the LDP, potentially including Komeito, who previously had a 26-year alliance with the governing LDP.[30] The CDP also instructed its prefectural chapters to meet with Komeito's local organisations, and Diet members to seek electoral cooperation.[31] On 14 January, it was found that the cooperation between the CDP and Komeito had begun with view to a merger of the two parties.[32] The merged party would caucus separately in the House of Councillors, but operate as a single party in the House of Representatives, with current CDP leader Yoshihiko Noda and Komeito leader Tetsuo Saito serving as co-leaders.[33] The merged party's proposed name was Chūdō Kaikaku (中道改革; Centrist Reform),[34][35] before its official name was finalised as Chūdō Kaikaku Rengō (中道改革連合; lit. Centrist Reform Alliance) (CRA).[36] Saito said that Noda would be named prime minister if the CRA won the election.[37]

Komeito announced it would not contest any constituency seats in favour of running in the proportional blocks.[38] Jiji Press created a model of the constituency seats which projected that the LDP would win 97 constituency seats and the CDP would win 139 with the results of the 2024 election.[39] Nippon Television projected that, with a hypothetical CDP–Komeito merger, the LDP would retain just 60 of its 132 single member districts with the 2024 election.[40] As a result of this merger, the new CRA would now have 172 seats in the National Diet, thus significantly weakening the LDP's already fragile grip on power.[41][42][43]

Electoral system

[edit]
See also: Elections in Japan

The 465 seats of the House of Representatives are contested via parallel voting. Of these, 289 members are elected in single-member constituencies using first-past-the-post voting, while 176 members are elected in 11 multi-member constituencies via party list proportional representation. Candidates from parties with legal political party-list, which requires either ≥5 Diet members or ≥1 Diet member and ≥2% of the nationwide vote in one tier of a recent national election, are allowed to stand in a constituency and be present on the party list. If they lose their constituency vote, they may still be elected in the proportionally allocated seats; however, if such a dual candidate wins less than 10% of the vote in their majoritarian constituency, they are also disqualified as a proportional candidate.[44]

Political parties

[edit]
See also: List of political parties in Japan
Parties Leader(s) Ideology Seats Status
Last election At dissolution
Liberal Democratic Party Sanae Takaichi Conservatism
Japanese nationalism
191 / 465
198 / 465
 Governing
coalition
Japan Innovation Party Hirofumi Yoshimura
Fumitake Fujita 		Conservatism
Populism
38 / 465
34 / 465
Centrist Reform
Alliance 		Constitutional Democratic Party Yoshihiko Noda Centrism
148 / 465
167 / 465
 Opposition
Komeito Tetsuo Saito
24 / 465
Democratic Party For the People Yuichiro Tamaki Conservatism
28 / 465
27 / 465
Reiwa Shinsengumi Taro Yamamoto Progressivism
Left-wing populism
9 / 465
8 / 465
Japanese Communist Party Tomoko Tamura Communism
8 / 465
8 / 465
Tax Cuts Japan and Yukoku Alliance Kazuhiro Haraguchi
Takashi Kawamura 		Right-wing populism
Conservatism 		Did not exist
5 / 465
Sanseitō Sohei Kamiya Right-wing populism
Ultraconservatism
3 / 465
2 / 465
Conservative Party of Japan Naoki Hyakuta Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
3 / 465
1 / 465
Social Democratic Party Mizuho Fukushima Social democracy
1 / 465
0 / 465
Independents and others N/a N/a
12 / 465
15 / 465
 Mixed
Candidates by party
Source: NHK

Campaign

[edit]
Number of registered candidates by party[45]
Party Before election Const. PR Running in both Total
LDP 198 285 319 267 337
CRA 167 202 234 200 236
Ishin 34 87 86 84 89
DPP 27 102 103 101 104
JCP 8 158 23 5 176
Reiwa 8 18 25 12 31
Tax Cuts 5 13 18 13 18
Sansei 2 182 55 47 190
CPJ 1 6 20 6 20
SDP 0 8 15 8 15
Mirai 0 6 15 6 15
CES 0 0 2 0 2
Others 0 11 – – 11
Ind. 15 41 – – 41
Total 465 1,119 915 749 1,285
The press conference where Takaichi announced her intention to hold an early general election.

Riding on the high approval ratings of her cabinet, the snap election was seen as a power move to boost Sanae Takaichi's mandate and gain a majority in the lower house,[27] which was only one seat away if including the Nippon Ishin No Kai.[46][47][48] Takaichi also announced that she would resign as prime minister if the ruling bloc did not win a majority.[49] The LDP was campaigning on its promises of increased spending, tax cuts, in the name of "responsible yet aggressive fiscal policy", and a new security strategy by abolishing the "five categories" which restricted defence equipment exports to non-combat purposes.[50] The party also looked to tighten rules on foreign acquisition of housing and land.[51]

Despite being the largest opposition party after the merge, the Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA) target of changing the government apparently faded into the background given the prevalent multi-party situation which made it difficult for a single party to gain a majority. The coalition aimed to accelerating political restructuring, with the possibility of the Democratic Party for the People (DPP) and part of the LDP joining the coalition after the election in mind.[49] Komeito candidates only ran in proportional representation seats in this election, with its voters' inclination becoming a focus of attention due to the previously longstanding cooperative relationship with the LDP.[49] The party campaigned on "putting ordinary citizens first and their livelihoods at the center" and lowering the consumption tax on food to zero, as well as the LDP slush fund scandal, by proposing stricter rules on corporate and group donations.[51][52]

Nippon Ishin No Kai, LDP coalition partner, recommended LDP candidates in over 80 constituencies.[49] The reports of an election prompted both Yoshimura (governor of Osaka Prefecture) and Hideyuki Yokoyama (mayor of Osaka) to resign from their posts with the aim of running for re-election alongside the general election, as well as to seek endorsement of the Osaka Metropolis Plan.[53] The party said to carry out reforms that the LDP had not been able to implement, with the focus on national security, economic security and economic growth and the aim to reduce consumption tax on food to zero.[52]

The right-leaning DPP, which gained significant ground in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election, pledged to ensure that everyone's take-home pay would be increased by 60,000 yen per year.[52] It also called for consumption tax reduction to 5% until wage growth stabilised at 2% above inflation.[51] The Japan Communist Party (JCP) called for immediate cut of consumption tax to 5% and its eventual abolition, while sought to legalise the option of separate surnames for married couples and same-sex marriage, as well as correcting the gender pay gap,[51] while the left-wing pacifist Reiwa Shinsengumi is campaigning on abolishing the consumption tax, providing a stopgap cash payment of 100,000 yen, lowering social insurance premiums and not participating in the war business.[52]

On 24 January, two new minor right-wing parties, Tax Cuts Japan and Yukoku Alliance and the New Unionist Party, were announced by former MPs Kazuhiro Haraguchi (also former Minister for Internal Affairs and Communications) and Takashi Kawamura, along with the independents.[54][55] Five incumbent MPs have joined the party, qualifying it for national party status.[56] The party also campaigned on abolishing the consumption tax and investing in developing hypersonic missiles.[51][52] Sohei Kamiya, the leader of the far-right political party Sanseitō, said that the party plans to field candidates in LDP constituencies where the incumbent has "advocated multicultural coexistence".[57] It campaigned on abolishing the consumption tax, while also opposing the "excessive acceptance of immigrants" by limiting their numbers.[52]

Debates

[edit]
2026 Japanese general election debates
Date Host Format Venue
  •  P  Present
  •  I  Invited
  •  S  Surrogate
  •  NI  Not invited
  •  A  Absent
  •  N  No debate
LDP CRA Ishin DPP Reiwa JCP Tax Cuts Sansei CPJ SDP Mirai
26 January Japan National Press Club Debate Japan National Press Club, Tokyo[58][59] P
Takaichi 		P
Noda 		P
Fujita 		P
Tamaki 		P
Ōishi 		P
Tamura 		NI
Haraguchi 		P
Kamiya 		NI
Hyakuta 		NI
Fukushima 		NI
Anno
1 February NHK (Nichiyō Tōron) Debate NHK Broadcasting Center, Tokyo[60] S
Tamura 		P
Saito 		P
Yoshimura 		P
Tamaki 		P
Ōishi 		P
Tamura 		P
Haraguchi 		P
Kamiya 		P
Hyakuta 		P
Fukushima 		P
Anno

Opinion polling

[edit]
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2026 Japanese general election
LOESS curve of the party identification polling for the next Japanese general election with a 7-day average

Seat projections

[edit]
This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling for the 2026 Japanese general election § Seat projections.[edit]

Color key:   Exit poll

Seat projections from analysts (district seats + proportional representation)
Fieldwork date Publication/
Newspapers 		Sample size Analysts LDP CRA Ishin DPFP Reiwa JCP Yukoku Sansei CPJ SDP Mirai Ind./
Oth. 		Gov. Opp. Gov.
Majority
8 Feb 2026 Election results – – 316
(249+67) 		49
(7+42) 		36
(20+16) 		28
(8+20) 		1
(0+1) 		4
(0+4) 		1
(1+0) 		15
(0+15) 		0 0 11
(0+11) 		4
(4+0) 		352 113 +119
8 Feb 2026 FNN exit poll[61] – – 292–329 36–66 30–38 22–33 0–3 2–7 1–2 10–16 0–2 0–1 8–13 6 324–365 79–143 +91–132
8 Feb 2026 ANN exit poll[62] – – 313 44 35 30 3 5 2 15 0 0 12 6 348 117 +115
8 Feb 2026 TV Tokyo exit poll[63] – – 314 50 35 30 0 3 2 14 0 0 9 8 349 116 +116
8 Feb 2026 NNN exit poll[64] – – 305 54 36 32 1 5 2 13 0 0 9 8 341 124 +108
8 Feb 2026 NHK exit poll[65] – – 274–328 37–91 28–38 18–35 0–2 3–8 0–3 5–14 0–1 0 7–13 3–8 302–366 73–175 +69–133
8 Feb 2026 JNN exit poll[66] – – 321 50 35 29 0 3 2 11 0 0 8 6 356 109 +123
3–5 Feb 2026 Mainichi[67] ? –
3–5 Feb 2026 JNN[68] ? – 238–330 55–130 25–38 16–28 0–2 2–9 1–3 5–14 0–5 0 2–8 3–8 263–368 84–207 +30–135
3–5 Feb 2026 Nikkei[69] ? – ≥233
3–5 Feb 2026 Yomiuri[70] 356,593 – >261 <100 ~34 <27 <9 <8 1 ~10 1 0 ~10 ~6 >295 <170 +62
31 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Asahi[71] ? – 292
(220+72) 		74
(32+42) 		32
(19+13) 		29
(9+20) 		4
(0+4) 		7
(1+6) 		1
(1+0) 		11
(0+11) 		0
(0+0) 		0
(0+0) 		8
(0+8) 		7
(7+0) 		324 141 +91
28–29 Jan 2026 Mainichi[72] 248,714 – 278
(197+81) 		103
(56+48) 		33
(20+13) 		26
(8+18) 		0 4
(1+3) 		1–2 8
(0+8) 		0 0 7
(0+7) 		6
(0+6) 		310 154 +77
28–29 Jan 2026 JNN[73] ? – 208–296 84–161 29–37 21–33 0 2–7 1–2 7–15 0 0 3–8 5–9 237–333 123–235 +4–100
28 Jan 2026 Shūkan Bunshun[74] – Masashi Kubota 205[d]
(135+70) 		167
(120+47) 		29
(14+15) 		27
(11+16) 		6
(0+6) 		6
(1+5) 		2
(2+0) 		15
(0+15) 		1
(0+1) 		0 1
(0+1) 		6
(6+0) 		234 231 +1
27–28 Jan 2026 Nikkei[75] ? – ≥233
27–28 Jan 2026 Yomiuri[76] 296,268 – >261 ~100 ~34 ~27 <9 <8 1–2 ~10 1 0 ~10 ~6 >295 <170 +62
20 Jan 2026 Asahi TV News – Kijimae Yamamoto 232 124 33 35 7 5 0 19 3 0 1 6 265 200 +32
15 Dec 2025 Weekly Gendai[77] – – 211[e]
(146+65) 		163[f]
(104+59) 		33
(21+12) 		30
(10+20) 		7
(0+7) 		7
(0+7) 		1
(1+0) 		6
(0+6) 		0
(0+0) 		0
(0+0) 		– 7
(7+0) 		244 221 +11
12 Nov 2025 Shūkan Bunshun[78] – Masashi Kubota 241
(168+73) 		122[g]
(83+39) 		32
(17+15) 		26
(9+17) 		6
(0+6) 		6
(1+5) 		– 19
(0+19) 		1
(0+1) 		0
(0+0) 		1
(0+1) 		11
(11+0) 		273 192 +40
27 Oct 2024 2024 election results – – 191
(132+59) 		172[h]
(108+64) 		38
(23+15) 		28
(11+17) 		9
(0+9) 		8
(1+7) 		– 3
(0+3) 		3
(1+2) 		1
(1+0) 		– 12
(12+0) 		237 228 +4

Turnout

[edit]

Overall turnout was estimated at 55.68% in single-seat districts, higher than the last election's relatively low turnout of 53.85%. Early voting turnout in 2026 amounted to over 27 million voters or 26% of the electorate, a new all-time high for both national parliamentary (Representatives/Councillors) elections. This was attributed to the harsh winter weather during the election.[79][80]

Results

[edit]

The LDP won a landslide victory, with the party winning an outright two-thirds supermajority and regaining its majority status in the chamber. The LDP's total of at least 316 seats is the most ever won by a party in Japanese post-war electoral history,[81] surpassing the previous record of 308 seats won by the DPJ in the 2009 Japanese general election. Additionally, the victory is also the best result in LDP's electoral history, surpassing a share of 64% of seats seen in the 1960 Japanese general election. The total LDP–JIP coalition, including 36 seats from JIP, now composed three-fourths of the House of Representatives.[4][5] Because so few district candidates from the LDP lost, it did not have enough candidates to fill its seats in the proportional tier. The LDP forfeited 14 seats to other parties, including 6 in the Minami-Kantō block, 5 in the Tokyo block, 2 in the Hokuriku-Shin'etsu block, and 1 in the Chūgoku block.[82]

PartyProportionalConstituencyTotal
seats		+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Liberal Democratic Party21,026,13936.726727,789,18349.23249316+125
Centrist Reform Alliance10,438,80118.234212,209,68621.63749-123
Japan Innovation Party4,943,3318.63163,742,1606.632036-2
Democratic Party For the People5,572,9519.73204,243,2817.528280
Sanseitō4,260,6207.44153,924,2216.95015+12
Team Mirai3,813,7496.6611156,8530.28011New
Japanese Communist Party2,519,8074.4042,283,8854.0504-4
Reiwa Shinsengumi1,672,4992.921255,4960.4501-7
Tax Cuts Japan and Yukoku Alliance814,8741.420354,6170.6311New
Conservative Party of Japan1,455,5632.54097,7530.1700-1
Social Democratic Party of Japan728,6011.270148,6660.26000
Others13,0140.02066,3080.12000
Independents1,174,6092.0844-6
Total57,259,949100.0017656,446,718100.002894650
Registered voters/turnout103,880,749–103,880,749–
Source: Sankei, The Japan Times, The Mainichi[citation needed]

By prefecture

[edit]
Cartogram of single-member constituencies and proportional blocs
Prefecture Total
seats 		Seats won
LDP Ishin DPP CRA TCJ Ind.
Aichi 16 12 3 1
Akita 3 2 1
Aomori 3 3
Chiba 14 13 1
Ehime 3 3
Fukui 2 2
Fukuoka 11 10 1
Fukushima 4 4
Gifu 5 5
Gunma 5 5
Hiroshima 6 6
Hokkaido 12 11 1
Hyōgo 12 11 1
Ibaraki 7 5 1 1
Ishikawa 3 3
Iwate 3 2 1
Kagawa 3 1 1 1
Kagoshima 4 3 1
Kanagawa 20 20
Kōchi 2 2
Kumamoto 4 4
Kyoto 6 4 1 1
Mie 4 4
Miyagi 5 5
Miyazaki 3 1 1 1
Nagano 5 5
Nagasaki 3 2 1
Nara 3 3
Niigata 5 5
Ōita 3 3
Okayama 4 4
Okinawa 4 4
Osaka 19 1 18
Saga 2 2
Saitama 16 16
Shiga 3 3
Shimane 2 2
Shizuoka 8 8
Tochigi 5 4 1
Tokushima 2 2
Tokyo 30 30
Tottori 2 2
Toyama 3 3
Wakayama 2 1 1
Yamagata 3 3
Yamaguchi 3 3
Yamanashi 2 2
Total 289 249 20 8 7 1 4

By PR block

[edit]
PR block Total
seats 		Seats won
LDP CRA DPP Ishin Sanseitō Mirai JCP Reiwa
Chūgoku 10 5 2 1 1 1
Hokkaido 8 4 3 1
Hokuriku–Shinetsu 10 3 4 1 1 1
Kinki 28 10 5 2 8 2 1
Kyushu 20 10 4 2 1 2 1
Northern Kanto 19 8 4 2 1 2 1 1
Shikoku 6 4 1 1
Southern Kanto 23 4 7 3 2 2 3 1 1
Tohoku 12 6 3 1 1 1
Tōkai 21 10 4 3 1 2 1
Tokyo 19 3 5 3 1 2 4 1
Total 176 67 42 20 16 15 11 4 1

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ CDP and Komeito
  2. ^ Yoshimura ran in the concurrent 2026 Osaka gubernatorial election
  3. ^ a b Sits in the House of Councillors for the national PR block
  4. ^ LDP-Independents: 2 (2+0)
  5. ^ LDP-Independents: 1 (1+0)
  6. ^ CDP: 143 (103+40); Komeito: 20 (1+19)
  7. ^ CDP: 105 (82+23); Komeito: 17 (1+16)
  8. ^ CDP: 148 (104+44); Komeito: 24 (4+20)

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Kihara, Tamiyuki; Takemoto, Yoshifumi; Geddie, John (14 January 2026). "Japan PM readies snap election, February 8 ballot eyed". Tokyo: Reuters. Archived from the original on 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
  2. ^ "選挙の種類". 総務省.
  3. ^ "比例候補不足の自民、13議席を他党へ譲る　圧勝の象徴的現象に". 毎日新聞. 9 February 2026. Retrieved 9 February 2026.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  4. ^ a b "LDP set for big win in snap election". The Japan Times. 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  5. ^ a b "Japan's governing party projected to win snap election majority". BBC News. 8 February 2026.
  6. ^ "Japan's ruling bloc loses lower house majority, a red flag for PM". Kyodo News. 28 October 2024. Archived from the original on 27 October 2024.
  7. ^ "Japan's Long-Dominant Party Suffers Election Defeat as Voters Swing Right". New York Times. 20 July 2025. Archived from the original on 20 July 2025. Retrieved 8 September 2025.
  8. ^ 日本放送協会 (21 July 2025). "石破首相 続投の意向 会見で正式に表明へ". NHKニュース (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 20 July 2025.
  9. ^ "Japan PM Ishiba says will stay in office after coalition's election defeat". Al Jazeera. Archived from the original on 20 July 2025. Retrieved 8 September 2025.
  10. ^ "Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigns". BBC. 7 September 2025. Archived from the original on 7 September 2025. Retrieved 8 September 2025.
  11. ^ "石破首相が退陣意向 自民党内の「石破おろし」耐えきれず、続投断念". The Asahi Shimbun. 7 September 2025. Archived from the original on 7 September 2025.
  12. ^ "石破首相が退陣意向と政権幹部、今夜記者会見 「前倒し要求」過半数の勢いで続投断念". Sankei Shimbun. 7 September 2025. Archived from the original on 7 September 2025.
  13. ^ "Japan's prime minister resigns after his party suffered a historic defeat in a summer elections". AP News. 7 September 2025. Archived from the original on 7 September 2025. Retrieved 8 September 2025.
  14. ^ "Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigns". POLITICO. 7 September 2025. Archived from the original on 7 September 2025. Retrieved 8 September 2025.
  15. ^ "Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba of Japan Says He Will Step Down". New York Times. 7 September 2025. Archived from the original on 7 September 2025. Retrieved 8 September 2025.
  16. ^ Ninivaggi, Gabriele (7 September 2025). "Ishiba to quit as prime minister amid LDP discontent". The Japan Times. Archived from the original on 10 September 2025. Retrieved 8 September 2025.
  17. ^ "Soft-spoken Shunichi Suzuki is son of ex-PM and brother-in-law of Taro Aso". Mainichi Shimbun. 7 October 2025. Archived from the original on 10 October 2025.
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  24. ^ "【速報】自民党は衆院選公認予定候補者を１９日までに申請するよう都道府県連に通知した：時事ドットコム" [[Breaking News] The Liberal Democratic Party has notified prefectural chapters to submit candidates for the House of Representatives election by the 19th]. 時事ドットコム (in Japanese). 13 January 2026. Archived from the original on 13 January 2026. Retrieved 13 January 2026.
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  26. ^ "＜FLASH＞「自民党調査」という衆院選の議席予測が出回る…「自民199→260 立憲148→70 国民27→35 公明24→18…」⇒ ネット民「野田が泡吹いて倒れるw」". 拡散新聞 (in Japanese). 14 January 2026. Archived from the original on 20 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
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  32. ^ "立憲民主と公明、新党結成を視野に調整 15日に両党幹部が協議へ：朝日新聞" [Constitutional democracy, Komeito, and coordination with a view to the formation of a new party: On the 15th, the leaders of the two parties will discuss]. 朝日新聞 (in Japanese). 14 January 2026. Archived from the original on 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
  33. ^ "立憲と公明が新党結成へ調整 野田・斉藤共同代表案も 15日議員総会" [Constitutional Democratic Party and Komeito to form new party; Noda and Saito to co-representatives proposed at general assembly on 15th]. 毎日新聞 (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
  34. ^ "「『一体どういうことなのか』と憤りの打電」立憲民主党、公明党が新党「中道改革」に向けて調整に 政権交代を想定する声もあるが、新党側も一枚岩ではなさそう" ["WTF is it?!" Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, Komeito to coordinate for the new party "Centrist Reform Alliance" Some people assume regime change, but the new party side also does not seem to be monolithic!]. Togetter [トゥギャッター] (in Japanese). 15 January 2026. Archived from the original on 19 January 2026. Retrieved 15 January 2026.
  35. ^ "【詳報】立憲民主と公明、新党結成で合意 党名は「中道改革」で調整：朝日新聞" [[Full report] Constitutional Democratic Party and Komeito agree to form new party; party name to be decided as "Centrist Reform"]. 朝日新聞 (in Japanese). 15 January 2026. Archived from the original on 15 January 2026. Retrieved 15 January 2026.
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  38. ^ 政治部, 時事通信 (15 January 2026). "立民・公明、新党結成で合意 「中道」掲げ、政権に対抗―比例代表で統一名簿：時事ドットコム". 時事ドットコム (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 15 January 2026. Retrieved 15 January 2026.
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  40. ^ "【独自分析】公明票が立憲に？ 衆院選"議席"シミュレーション 自民・立憲で逆転も". ライブドアニュース (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 15 January 2026. Retrieved 15 January 2026.
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  47. ^ "Japan's Lower House Dissolved ; Feb. 8 to Be Set as General Election Day". The Japan News. 23 January 2026. Retrieved 23 January 2026.
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  52. ^ a b c d e f "【演説全文・全編動画】衆議院選挙公示 党首らの訴えは？". NHK. 27 January 2026.
  53. ^ "Osaka governor, mayor to resign for double election over metropolis plan". Mainichi Daily News. 14 January 2026. Archived from the original on 15 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
  54. ^ "【速報】＜衆院選＞原口一博氏と河村たかし氏が合流し新党「減税日本・ゆうこく連合」を立ち上げ 政党要件を満たす（佐賀新聞）". Yahoo!ニュース (in Japanese). Retrieved 24 January 2026.
  55. ^ 産経新聞 (24 January 2026). "「原口新党」は「減税日本・ゆうこく連合」河村氏と共同代表「ワクチン健康被害争点に」". 産経新聞：産経ニュース (in Japanese). Retrieved 27 January 2026.
  56. ^ "Japan lawmaker critical of opposition alliance to launch new party". Japan Wire by KYODO NEWS. 24 January 2026. Retrieved 24 January 2026.
  57. ^ 慎平, 奥原 (14 January 2026). "参政・神谷氏、多文化共生掲げる自民議員には「候補者たてる」 目標は「30～40」議席" [Councillor Kamiya: "We will field candidates" for LDP lawmakers who advocate multicultural coexistence, aiming for "30-40" seats]. 産経新聞：産経ニュース (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
  58. ^ "Japan's ruling LDP faces criticism over backing scandal-tainted candidates". chinadailyhk.
  59. ^ "Campaigning begins for Japan's Feb. 8 election as PM Takaichi seeks mandate". 27 January 2026 – via Mainichi Daily News.
  60. ^ "各党に問う 衆院選の争点は". NHK. 1 February 2026.
  61. ^ 高市自民が圧倒的大勝利…自民単独で300議席超えも　与党は324～365議席と3分の２上回り中道は36～66議席と歴史的大敗に【衆院選2026】 [Takaichi's LDP wins a landslide victory... The LDP alone wins over 300 seats, but the ruling party wins 324-365 seats, a two-thirds majority, while the centrists lose only 36-66 seats, a historic defeat [House of Representatives Election 2026]]. Fuji News Network (in Japanese). 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  62. ^ 自民党が歴史的大勝！単独で歴代最多313議席獲得か 再可決に必要な「3分の2」超える 衆院選【ANN議席予測】 [The LDP wins a historic victory! Will it win a record 313 seats on its own? Exceeding the two-thirds majority needed for re-passing the House of Representatives election. [ANN Seat Prediction]]. ABEMA Times (in Japanese). 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  63. ^ 選挙戦最終日に各党幹部vsテレ東キャスター陣を実現 生中継で聞く経済政策の行方！ 選挙サテライト2026前日スペシャル～投票前日に全政党に生直撃！政界地図は変わるのか？～ [On the final day of the election campaign, party leaders face off against TV Tokyo newscasters. Hear about the outcome of economic policies in a live broadcast! Election Satellite 2026 Day Before Special: Live interviews with all political parties on the day before the vote! Will the political map change?]. TV Tokyo (in Japanese). 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  64. ^ 【衆院選】自民、300議席を上回る勢い【出口調査】 [[House of Representatives Election] LDP on track to win more than 300 seats [Exit Poll]]. Nippon News Network (in Japanese). 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  65. ^ 【速報】自民単独で過半数大きく上回り300議席に達する可能性 [[Breaking News] LDP alone could win a majority, reaching 300 seats]. NHK (in Japanese). 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  66. ^ 【速報】自民・圧勝 与党で3分の2上回る勢い　中道は公示前の半数を下回る見通し【JNN冒頭議席予測 衆議院選挙2026】 [[Breaking News] LDP Wins by a Majority, Ruling Party on Track to Exceed Two-Thirds of the Elections, Center-Reaching Parties Expected to Fall Below Half of Their Pre-Election Stakes [JNN Opening Seat Predictions for the 2026 House of Representatives Election]]. TBS News (in Japanese). 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  67. ^ ＜写真・図解まとめ＞衆院選2026 [<Photos and illustrations> House of Representatives Election 2026]. Mainichi Shimbun (in Japanese). 5 February 2026. Retrieved 7 February 2026.
  68. ^ 衆議院選挙　小選挙区の終盤情勢【大阪・兵庫・京都・滋賀・奈良・和歌山・徳島まとめ】　JNNインターネット調査に取材を加味【衆院選2026】 [House of Representatives Election: Final Situation in Single-Seat Constituencies [Summary of Osaka, Hyogo, Kyoto, Shiga, Nara, Wakayama, and Tokushima] JNN Online Survey with Additional Interviews [House of Representatives Election 2026]]. Japan News Network (in Japanese). 5 February 2026. Retrieved 5 February 2026.
  69. ^ 自民・維新300議席超うかがう　衆院選終盤情勢、中道半減の可能性 [LDP and Ishin Party likely to win over 300 seats in final stages of Lower House election, possibility of centrist party split in half]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 5 February 2026. Retrieved 5 February 2026.
  70. ^ 自民党が単独過半数の勢い、中道改革連合は大幅減…衆議院選挙終盤情勢 [LDP on track for majority, centrist reform coalition loses significant share... Final stages of House of Representatives election]. Yomiuri Shimbun (in Japanese). 5 February 2026. Retrieved 5 February 2026.
  71. ^ 自維300議席超うかがう　中道半減も　参政・みらい勢い　朝日調査 [LDP likely to win over 300 seats, moderate parties halved, gains momentum in parliament and future, Asahi survey]. The Asahi Shimbun (in Japanese). 1 February 2026. Retrieved 1 February 2026.
  72. ^ 自民、単独過半数うかがう　中道は浸透せず　毎日新聞衆院選序盤調査 [LDP eyeing majority on its own, centrist party fails to gain traction, Mainichi Shimbun early Lower House election survey]. Mainichi Shimbun (in Japanese). 29 January 2026. Retrieved 29 January 2026.
  73. ^ 【衆議院選挙】関西の"激戦区"情報も　注目の『序盤情勢』を深掘り解説 / 大阪１９区・大阪５区・兵庫８区・兵庫９区・滋賀１区【JNN序盤情勢】 [[House of Representatives Election] Information on the "battlegrounds" in Kansai: An in-depth look at the notable "early election situation" / Osaka District 19, Osaka District 5, Hyogo District 8, Hyogo District 9, Shiga District 1 [JNN Early Election Situation]]. Japan News Network (in Japanese). 30 January 2026. Retrieved 3 February 2026.
  74. ^ 【完全版】2.8衆院選予測「全289選挙区当落リスト」自民＆維新は大誤算！《落選危機 現職閣僚3人の実名》《リベンジ丸川珠代、陰の幹事長・萩生田、合同結婚式・長島は？》《国民横ばい、参政党7倍》 [[Full Version] February 8th House of Representatives Election Prediction "List of Winners and Losers in All 289 Electoral Districts" - LDP and Ishin Party Make a Major Miscalculation! [Names of Three Incumbent Cabinet Ministers at Risk of Losing] [Revenge for Tamayo Marukawa, Secret Secretary General Hagiuda, and Mass Wedding for Nagashima?] [Kokumin Party's Number Flat, 7x More Popular Parties]]. Shūkan Bunshun (in Japanese). 28 January 2026. Retrieved 29 January 2026.
  75. ^ 自民単独過半数の勢い　衆議院選挙の序盤情勢、中道は議席減の可能性 [LDP on track for majority in House of Representatives election: Early signs suggest center-right parties may lose seats]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 28 January 2026. Retrieved 29 January 2026.
  76. ^ 自民が単独過半数うかがう、中道は伸び悩み・国民横ばい・参政大幅増…読売序盤情勢調査 [LDP on track for majority, centrists sluggish, Kokumin voters flat, and significant increase in suffocation...Yomiuri poll]. Yomiuri Shimbun (in Japanese). 28 January 2026. Retrieved 29 January 2026.
  77. ^ 2026年総選挙を全予測「ここを落とせば高市政権は終わり」と言われる《意外な選挙区》の名前 [A complete prediction for the 2026 general election: The names of "unexpected electoral districts" where "a loss here would be the end of the Takaichi administration"]. Gendai Media (in Japanese). 15 December 2025. Retrieved 2 February 2026.
  78. ^ 【選挙区リスト付き】衆院選当落予測 サナエ劇場で自民圧勝！《大人気の高市内閣でも副大臣7人、政務官1人が危機》《丸川珠代、パンツ高木、武田良太…裏金浪人候補の明暗》 [[Constituency list included] Lower House Election Results Prediction: Sanae's Theater Shows a Crushing LDP Victory! 《Even the Popular Takaichi Cabinet Faces Crisis with Seven Vice Ministers and One Parliamentary Vice-Minister》《Marukawa Tamayo, Pants Takagi, Takeda Ryota... The Light and Dark Side of the Slush Fund Ronin Candidates》]. Shūkan Bunshun (in Japanese). 12 November 2025. Retrieved 1 February 2026.
  79. ^ Tajima, Nobuhiko (8 February 2026). "Voter turnout estimated at 55.68%; early voting hits high". The Asahi Shimbun. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  80. ^ "「衆議院選挙の期日前投票2701万人、有権者の26%　国政選挙で過去最多". nikkei.com (in Japanese). 8 February 2026. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
  81. ^ Murakami, Sakura (8 February 2026). "Takaichi Triumphs With Japan's Biggest Post-War Election Victory". Bloomberg. Retrieved 9 February 2026.
  82. ^ "自民「名簿不足」で14議席譲る　重複立候補の大勝で南関東6　東京5　北陸信越2　中国1". 産経新聞. 9 February 2025. Retrieved 9 February 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
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