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2026 Aragonese regional election

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2026 Aragonese regional election

← 2023
8 February 2026

All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon
34 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,036,321[1] Increase 1.7%
Turnout662,131 (63.9%)[a]
Decrease 2.6 pp
Votes counted
98.77%
as of 8 February - 22:47 CET
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Jorge Azcón Pilar Alegría Alejandro Nolasco
Party PP PSOE Vox
Leader since 19 December 2021 27 January 2025 23 December 2022
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Teruel
Last election 28 seats, 35.5% 23 seats, 29.6% 7 seats, 11.2%
Seats won 26 18 14
Seat change Decrease 2 Decrease 5 Increase 7
Popular vote 224,797 159,366 117,347
Percentage 34.3% 24.3% 17.9%
Swing Decrease 1.2 pp Decrease 5.3 pp Increase 6.7 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Jorge Pueyo Tomás Guitarte Marta Abengochea
Party CHA Existe IUMS
Leader since 3 January 2026 28 January 2023 29 November 2025
Leader's seat Zaragoza Teruel Zaragoza
Last election 3 seats, 5.1% 3 seats, 5.0% 1 seat, 3.1%
Seats won 6 2 1
Seat change Increase 3 Decrease 1 Steady 0
Popular vote 63,875 23,320 19,290
Percentage 9.7% 3.6% 2.9%
Swing Increase 4.6 pp Decrease 1.4 pp Decrease 0.2 pp

President before election

Jorge Azcón
PP

Elected President

TBD

A regional election is being held in the Aragon in Spain on Sunday, 8 February 2026, to elect the 12th Cortes of the autonomous community. All 67 seats in the Cortes will be up for election. This marked the first time that an Aragonese president exercised the legal prerogative to call a snap election.

The 2023 election had seen a coalition between the People's Party (PP) and the far-right Vox party being formed under the presidency of Jorge Azcón. This cabinet lasted until July 2024, when a strategic movement from Vox's national leadership saw the party exiting the government and leaving Azcón in a minority. Discrepancies between PP and Vox during the negotiations of the 2026 budget and Azcón's aim to capitalize on the perceived weakness of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)—which had seen the farewell and later death of former president Javier Lambán and his succession by Education minister Pilar Alegría—resulted in a snap election being called for February 2026, in a similar move to regional colleague María Guardiola in Extremadura, and one month in advance of a scheduled regional election in Castile and León. Various political parties postponed the start of their campaigns as a mourning gesture in the aftermath of the Adamuz train derailments.

Overview

[edit]

Under the 2007 Statute of Autonomy, the Cortes of Aragon are the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[2]

Electoral system

[edit]

Voting for the Cortes is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote.[3][4][5]

The Cortes of Aragon are entitled to a minimum of 65 and a maximum of 80 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at 67. All members are elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 14 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province does not exceed three times that of the least populated one)—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes (which includes blank ballots) being applied in each constituency.[6][7] The use of the electoral method may result in a higher effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[8]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[9]

Seats Constituencies
35 Zaragoza
18 Huesca
14 Teruel

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes.[10][11]

Election date

[edit]

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the scheduled date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication.[3][12][13] The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 28 May 2027. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 27 June 2027.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one.[12][14] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[15]

Speculation emerged in September 2025 that the national leadership of the People's Party (PP) was planning to advance the elections in Aragon and Extremadura (and possibly the Balearic Islands) to make them take place near or concurrently with the Castilian-Leonese election scheduled for early 2026, in an electoral "Super Sunday".[16][17][18] While the alleged justification would be the regional governments' failure to approve their 2026 budgets, the true motive was attributed to PP plans—not without risk—to turn the simultaneous election call into a referendum on the national government of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez.[19][20] Regional president Jorge Azcón ruled out any plans of a joint election call with other regions,[21][22] with his government's allegedly focused on avoiding an election.[23][24] Tensions between PP and Vox remained high,[25] and a controversy over the dismissal of a Vox parliamentary advisor for online hate speech prompted the breakup of budget negotiations on 21 October.[26][27][28] Vox was reportedly willing to take public blame for forcing early elections in Aragon and Extremadura.[29][30] Azcón's government rejected an immediate election call following the announcement of a snap Extremaduran election for 21 December 2025,[31][32][33] but this was attributed to him having his own timetable—unlike in Extremadura, budgetary procedures had not yet begun in Aragon[34][35]—rather than a lack of willingness for a 2026 election.[36][37][38] Throughout November 2025, Azcón hinted at a failure in budget negotiations leading to an early parliament dissolution,[39][40] with a possible election date being considered for February 2026, so as to prevent a simultaneous call with Castile and León in March.[41][42] February was hinted as the most likely month for a snap election,[43][44][45] with various Spanish outlets confirming on 12 December that the dissolution decree would be signed the next Monday for an election to be held on 8 February.[46][47][48]

The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 16 December 2025 with the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting election day for 8 February and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 3 March.[9][49]

Outgoing parliament

[edit]

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[50][51]

Parliamentary composition in December 2025
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
People's Parliamentary Group in the Cortes of Aragon PP 28 28
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 23 23
Vox Parliamentary Group in Aragon Vox 7 7
Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group CHA 3 3
Aragon–Teruel Exists Parliamentary Group TE 3 3
Mixed Parliamentary Group Podemos 1 3
IU 1
PAR 1

Parties and candidates

[edit]

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[52][53] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[54]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Vote % Seats
PP
List
Jorge Azcón Conservatism
Christian democracy
35.5% 28 Yes
PSOE Pilar Alegría Social democracy 29.6% 23 No [55]
[56]
[57]
Vox
List
Alejandro Nolasco Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
11.2% 7 No [58]
CHA
List
Jorge Pueyo Aragonese nationalism
Eco-socialism
5.1% 3 No [59]
[60]
[61]
Existe
List
Tomás Guitarte Localism
Ruralism
5.0% 3 No [62]
PodemosAV
List
María Goicoechea Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
4.0% 1 No [63]
[64]
[65]
[66]
IUMS Marta Abengochea Socialism
Communism
Progressivism
3.1% 1 No [67]
[68]
[69]
PAR
List
Alberto Izquierdo Regionalism
Centrism
2.1% 1 Yes [70]
[71]
[72]

Timetable

[edit]

The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[73]

  • 15 December: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the president, after deliberation in the Government.[9]
  • 16 December: Formal dissolution of parliament and start of prohibition period on the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
  • 19 December: Initial constitution of provincial and zone electoral commissions with judicial members.
  • 22 December: Division of constituencies into polling sections and stations.
  • 26 December: Deadline for parties and federations to report on their electoral alliances.
  • 29 December: Deadline for electoral register consultation for the purpose of possible corrections.
  • 5 January: Deadline for parties, federations, alliances, and groupings of electors to present electoral lists.
  • 7 January: Publication of submitted electoral lists in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA).
  • 12 January: Official proclamation of validly submitted electoral lists.
  • 13 January: Publication of proclaimed electoral lists in the BOA.
  • 14 January: Deadline for the selection of polling station members by sortition.
  • 22 January: Deadline for the appointment of non-judicial members to provincial and zone electoral commissions.
  • 23 January: Official start of electoral campaigning.[9]
  • 29 January: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
  • 3 February: Start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication; deadline for non-resident citizens (electors residing abroad (CERA) and citizens temporarily absent from Spain) to vote by mail.
  • 4 February: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voting.
  • 5 February: Deadline for CERA voting.
  • 6 February: Last day of electoral campaigning.[9]
  • 7 February: Official election silence ("reflection day").
  • 8 February: Election day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote); provisional vote counting.
  • 13 February: Start of general vote counting, including CERA votes.
  • 16 February: Deadline for the general vote counting.
  • 25 February: Deadline for the proclamation of elected members.
  • 10 March: Deadline for the reconvening of parliament (date determined by the election decree, which for the 2026 election was set for 3 March).[9][12]
  • 6 April: Deadline for the publication of definitive election results in the BOA.

Campaign

[edit]

Party slogans

[edit]
Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Ref.
PP « Aragón imparable » "Aragon unstoppable" [74]
PSOE « Por Aragón. Por tus derechos » "For Aragon. For your rights" [75]
Vox « Sentido común » "Common sense" [76]
CHA « A favor de Aragón » "In favour of Aragon" [77]
Existe « Tú decides » "You decide" [78]
PodemosAV « Con rasmia » "With determination" [79]
IUMS « El valor de la gente » "The value of people" [80]
PAR « Aragón, primero » "Aragon first" [81]

Election debates

[edit]
2026 Aragonese regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[b]    S  Surrogate[c]    NI  Not invited   I  Invited    A  Absent invitee 
PP PSOE Vox CHA Existe Podemos IUMS PAR Audience Ref.
26 January Aragón TV Ana Laiglesia P
Azcón
P
Alegría
NI NI NI NI NI NI 25.8%
(112,000)[d]
[82]
[83]
29 January RTVE Xabier Fortes P
Azcón
P
Alegría
P
Nolasco
P
Pueyo
P
Guitarte
P
Goicoechea
P
Abengochea
P
Izquierdo
18.1%
(79,000)
[84]
[85]
2 February Aragón TV Ana Laiglesia P
Azcón
P
Alegría
P
Nolasco
P
Pueyo
P
Guitarte
P
Goicoechea
P
Abengochea
P
Izquierdo
18.7%
(72,000)
[82]
[86]
4 February El Periódico de Aragón Laura Carnicero
Sergio H. Valgañón
P
Azcón
P
Alegría
P
Nolasco
P
Pueyo
P
Guitarte
P
Goicoechea
P
Abengochea
P
Izquierdo
[87]
Opinion polls
Candidate viewed as "performing best" or "most convincing" in each debate
Debate Polling firm/Commissioner Sample PP PSOE Vox CHA Existe Pod. IUMS PAR Tie None Question?
29 January Heraldo de Aragón[88] 2,100 41.5 23.9 7.0 11.4 1.6 1.5 7.3 5.8

Opinion polls

[edit]

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

[edit]
Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 May 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

[edit]

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP PSOE Vox CHA Existe Podemos IU PAR Sumar SALF Lead
2026 regional election 8 Feb 2026 N/a 63.9[a] 34.3
26
24.3
18
17.9
14
9.7
6
3.6
2
0.9
0
2.9
1
1.2
0
[e] 2.7
0
10.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 1] 8 Feb 2026 ? ? 35.9
26/28
22.5
17/19
17.5
12/14
7.9
4/5
4.3
2/3
1.5
0
5.2
1/2
2.3
0
[e] 1.3
0
13.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 2] 6–7 Feb 2026 1,000 ? 35.7
28
22.8
17
17.9
13
8.2
5
4.2
3
1.5
0
3.0
1
1.5
0
[e] 2.0
0
12.9
GAD3/FORTA[p 3] 23 Jan–6 Feb 2026 4,123 ? 35.2
26/29
22.7
17/18
17.6
13/14
8.7
4/5
4.1
2/3
1.7
0
4.2
1/2
1.5
0
[e] 1.9
0
12.5
Data10/Okdiario[p 4] 1–2 Feb 2026 1,200 ? 37.9
29
23.1
17
17.6
14
7.4
4
3.5
2
?
0
3.9
1
?
0
[e] ?
0
14.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 5] 30 Jan–1 Feb 2026 1,000 ? 35.7
28/29
23.3
17/18
17.5
12/13
7.3
3/4
4.0
2/3
1.7
0
3.3
1
2.4
0
[e] 2.4
0
12.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 6] 1 Jan–1 Feb 2026 1,598 ? 37.7
29
23.9
18
17.9
13
7.2
4
3.1
2
2.2
0
3.8
1
1.5
0
[e] 1.8
0
13.8
Target Point/El Debate[p 7] 28–31 Jan 2026 1,005 ? 36.9
28/30
21.9
16/18
17.2
12/13
7.3
4
3.5
2/3
2.1
0
4.5
1/2
1.9
0
[e] 2.7
0/1
15.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 8] 26–30 Jan 2026 1,346 ? 37.8
27/30
24.6
17/19
17.1
12/14
7.7
4/6
3.3
2
1.5
0
4.3
1/2
1.4
0
[e] 0.8
0
13.2
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 9][p 10] 26–29 Jan 2026 2,000 61.2 37.2
28/29
24.2
18/19
16.6
12/13
6.7
3/4
2.7
2
2.2
0
4.3
1/2
1.4
0
[e] 2.3
0
13.0
GAD3/ABC[p 11] 22–29 Jan 2026 1,001 ? 36.4
28
22.6
18
16.5
12
8.3
5
4.3
3
2.1
0
3.6
1
1.2
0
[e] ?
0
13.8
40dB/Prisa[p 12][p 13] 26–28 Jan 2026 1,000 ? 37.6
28/30
23.2
17/18
17.0
11/13
6.7
3/4
3.8
2/3
2.2
0
4.5
1/3
1.2
0
[e] 14.4
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 14] 15–28 Jan 2026 800 62.6 37.0
28/30
24.0
18/20
16.0
11/12
7.0
4/5
4.5
2/3
2.5
0
4.2
2/3
1.2
0
[e] 1.2
0
13.0
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 15] 15 Dec–24 Jan 2026 1,642 ? 39.5
30
24.8
18
17.6
13
5.9
3
3.5
2
2.2
0
3.6
1
1.5
0
[e] 15.2
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 16][p 17] 20–23 Jan 2026 1,100 60.9 37.9
30
23.6
18
16.9
12
7.5
4
3.5
2
2.4
0
4.5
1
1.8
0
[e] 14.3
40dB/Prisa[p 18][p 19] 16–20 Jan 2026 1,000 ? 37.4
27/30
25.0
18/19
17.9
12/13
5.7
3
3.9
2/3
2.0
0/1
3.8
1
1.3
0/1
[e] 12.4
GAD3/Hoy Aragón[p 20][p 21] 12–20 Jan 2026 1,207 ? 37.0
29
24.7
18/20
15.1
11/12
6.7
3/4
4.4
2/3
2.0
0
4.2
1/2
?
0
[e] ?
0
12.3
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 22][p 23] 15–18 Jan 2026 2,000 63.7 38.6
29/30
24.8
18/19
14.7
10/11
5.7
3
3.4
2/3
2.5
0/1
3.3
1
1.5
0/1
[e] 3.2
0/1
13.8
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 24] 15 Dec–17 Jan 2026 1,012 ? 39.8
31
24.6
17
18.2
13
5.5
3
3.5
2
2.2
0
3.1
1
1.7
0
[e] 15.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 25] 14–16 Jan 2026 1,000 ? 36.7
29/30
25.0
18/20
16.3
11/12
6.0
3
3.3
2
2.7
0/1
3.4
1
2.0
0/1
[e] 1.6
0
11.7
NC Report/La Razón[p 26] 8–16 Jan 2026 1,000 62.9 39.9
30/31
23.1
17/18
17.6
12/13
5.6
3
3.6
2
3.2
1
3.5
1
?
0
[e] 16.8
CIS (Target Point)[f][89] 12–15 Jan 2026 3,313 ? 37.0
29/30
22.8
17/18
16.1
11/13
8.3
4/5
3.6
2
2.1
0
3.5
1
1.5
0/1
[e] 2.3
0
14.2
CIS[p 27][90] ? 35.3
25/29
26.7
17/23
15.1
10/13
6.9
3/5
2.2
1/2
2.5
0/1
5.0
1/3
1.5
0
[e] 2.0
0
8.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 28] 8–15 Jan 2026 1,716 ? 38.1
28/30
25.8
18/20
15.8
12/13
7.5
4/5
2.5
2
2.2
0/1
4.5
1/2
1.5
0
[e] 0.8
0
12.3
Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli[91] 9–14 Jan 2026 1,000 64.7 39.4
30
23.4
17
17.8
13
5.7
3
3.8
2
3.0
1
3.7
1
1.5
0
[e] 16.0
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 29] 11 Dec–11 Jan 2026 864 ? 40.3
31
24.8
18
17.3
12
5.7
3
3.7
2
2.7
0
3.6
1
1.7
0
[e] 15.5
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 30] 1 Dec–3 Jan 2026 1,228 ? 39.9
29
25.8
19
17.1
12
5.3
3
3.7
2
2.9
1
3.6
1
1.5
0
[e] 14.1
SyM Consulting[p 31] 20–24 Dec 2025 2,200 69.2 39.5
29
24.5
18/19
17.8
12/14
4.9
2/3
4.3
3
3.1
1/2
2.2
0
1.7
0/1
15.0
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 32][p 33] 15–18 Dec 2025 1,800 68.6 39.2
29/30
25.8
17/19
15.5
11/12
5.8
3
3.9
2/3
6.1
3/4
[g] 1.5
0
13.4
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 34] 1–13 Dec 2025 804 ? 43.2
31
28.9
21
12.6
9
4.6
3
2.9
2
2.0
0
3.7
1
1.5
0
14.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 35] 24–28 Nov 2025 1,200 ? 38.2
30/31
23.9
17/18
16.9
11
4.7
2
4.3
3
3.5
1
4.8
2
0.9
0
14.3
Sigma Dos/PP[p 36][p 37] 15–30 Jun 2025 1,300 ? 40.6
31/32
24.1
17/19
12.1
7/9
6.5
3/4
2.6
1/2
2.8
0/1
5.3
2/3
1.7
0/1
16.5
NC Report/La Razón[p 38] 16–31 May 2025 350 64.4 ?
30
?
20
?
8
?
4
?
2
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 39] 14–25 Apr 2025 1,039 ? 37.3
28/30
25.8
18/20
12.6
8/9
6.4
3/4
3.3
2/3
2.8
1
4.3
1/2
1.9
1
11.5
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 40] 7–11 Apr 2025 1,200 ? 37.9
30
26.2
20
13.5
9
3.9
2
4.9
4
3.0
1
4.2
1
1.1
0
11.7
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 41] 2–10 Apr 2025 2,400 67.4 43.6
32
31.1
24
10.1
6
5.2
3
2.4
2
1.7
0
2.4
0
1.0
0
12.5
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 42] 1–6 Oct 2024 1,500 ? 39.9
33
29.7
24
9.0
6
4.0
1
4.2
3
2.0
0
2.5
0
1.4
0
2.7
0
10.2
NC Report/La Razón[p 43] 15–18 Jul 2024 1,000 68.9 40.8
32
30.4
23
8.9
6
5.2
3
3.9
2
2.6
0
3.6
1
1.4
0
10.4
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 44] 12–15 Jul 2024 1,600 68.1 40.6
30
35.1
26
9.8
6
5.5
3
2.7
2
0.9
0
1.1
0
2.4
0
5.5
Data10/Okdiario[p 45] 12–13 Jul 2024 1,500 ? 37.4
31
31.6
26
10.1
7
4.1
1
4.1
2
5.4
2024 EP election 9 Jun 2024 N/a 51.1 37.1
(28)
30.3
(23)
11.5
(8)
[h] 2.9
(1)
3.1
(1)
[h] 5.1
(3)
5.1
(3)
6.8
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 46] 10–16 Apr 2024 2,400 68.6 40.2
31
30.7
23
12.0
8
5.4
3
2.7
2
1.7
0
2.6
0
1.0
0
9.5
2023 general election 23 Jul 2023 N/a 70.7 36.3
(26)
31.1
(23)
14.6
(9)
[h] 2.9
(2)
[h] [h] 0.6
(0)
12.3
(7)
5.2
2023 regional election 28 May 2023 N/a 66.5 35.5
28
29.6
23
11.2
7
5.1
3
5.0
3
4.0
1
3.1
1
2.1
1
5.9

Voting preferences

[edit]

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Aragon.

All candidates
Azcón vs. Alegría

Predicted President

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

Voter turnout

[edit]

The table below shows registered voter turnout on election day, without including non-resident citizens.

Province Time
11:00 14:00 18:00 20:00
2026 2023 2026 +/– 2023 2026 +/– 2023 2026 +/–
Huesca 10.44% 39.61% 37.73% −1.88 53.45% 52.86% −0.59 68.80% 64.81% −3.99
Teruel 10.78% 42.89% 39.78% −3.11 59.14% 55.49% −3.65 74.59% 67.59% −7.00
Zaragoza 10.96% 40.99% 41.80% +0.81 54.41% 57.19% +2.78 69.64% 68.20% −1.44
Total 10.85% 40.96% 40.91% −0.05 54.73% 56.29% +1.56 70.01% 67.57% −2.44
Sources[92][93]

Results

[edit]

Overall

[edit]
Summary of the 8 February 2026 Cortes of Aragon election results
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 224,797 34.27 −1.24 26 −2
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 159,366 24.29 −5.26 18 −5
Vox (Vox) 117,347 17.89 +6.64 14 +7
Aragonese Union (CHA)1 63,875 9.74 +4.47 6 +3
Exists Coalition (Existe) 23,320 3.56 −1.40 2 −1
United LeftUnite Movement (IU–MS) 19,290 2.94 −0.19 1 ±0
The Party is Over (SALF) 17,983 2.74 New 0 ±0
Aragonese Party (PAR) 8,161 1.24 −0.85 0 −1
We CanGreen Alliance (Podemos–AV) 6,206 0.95 −3.07 0 −1
Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) 4,148 0.63 +0.20 0 ±0
Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA) 2,638 0.40 −0.10 0 ±0
For a Fairer World (M+J) 509 0.08 New 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) 494 0.08 −0.05 0 ±0
Aragonese Coalition (Coalición Aragonesa)2 440 0.07 −0.12 0 ±0
Lower Cinca Between Everyone (ETXSBC) 225 0.03 −0.05 0 ±0
Blank ballots 7,166 1.09 −0.53
Total 655,965 67 ±0
Valid votes 655,965 99.07 +0.30
Invalid votes 6,166 0.93 −0.30
Votes cast / turnout 662,131 63.89[a] −2.65
Abstentions
Registered voters 1,036,321
Sources[93]
Footnotes:
  • 1 Aragonese Union results are compared to the combined totals of Aragonese Union and Greens Equo in the 2023 election.
  • 2 Aragonese Coalition results are compared to the Federation of Independents of Aragon totals in the 2023 election.
Popular vote
PP
34.27%
PSOE
24.29%
Vox
17.89%
CHA
9.74%
Existe
3.56%
IUMS
2.94%
SALF
2.74%
PAR
1.24%
Others
2.23%
Blank ballots
1.09%
Seats
PP
38.81%
PSOE
26.87%
Vox
20.90%
CHA
8.96%
Existe
2.99%
IUMS
1.49%

Distribution by constituency

[edit]
Constituency PP PSOE Vox CHA Existe IUMS
% S % S % S % S % S % S
Huesca 32.9 7 26.7 5 18.8 4 9.8 2 2.2 2.5
Teruel 28.8 5 23.6 4 20.3 3 3.9 12.9 2 1.8
Zaragoza 35.3 14 23.9 9 17.4 7 10.5 4 2.6 3.2 1
Total 34.3 26 24.3 18 17.9 14 9.7 6 3.6 2 2.9 1
Sources[93]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c This turnout estimation does not include non-resident (CERA) votes, and has been manually calculated by dividing the number of votes cast by the total number of registered voters (the latter including those residing abroad). Turnout from voters residing in Aragon decreased from 70.0% to 67.6%.
  2. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  3. ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  4. ^ In Aragon, the debate was broadcast on Aragón TV (51,000; 11.7%) and La 1 and 24 Horas (61,000; 14.1%).
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag Within IU.
  6. ^ Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.
  7. ^ Within Podemos.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Within Sumar.
  9. ^ Responses denoting a party's generic candidate are aggregated to that party's main candidate/leader at the time of the poll.

References

[edit]
Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones en Aragón sin mejorar, el PSOE se desplomaría y Vox puede doblar sus escaños". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 8 February 2026.
  2. ^ "Jorge Azcón vuelve a ganar y gobernará en Aragón, Pilar Alegría hunde al PSOE y Vox casi duplica sus resultados". El Español (in Spanish). 8 February 2026.
  3. ^ "El PP gana de largo en Aragón, pero necesita de un Vox reforzado: el PSOE sigue hundido". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 8 February 2026.
  4. ^ "Azcón ganará sin mayoría absoluta, Alegría se hunde y el PSOE sólo aventajará a Vox en 3 escaños". Okdiario (in Spanish). 2 February 2026.
  5. ^ a b c "Último sondeo. El PSOE, al borde del peor resultado de su historia en Aragón: Pilar Alegría sólo obtendría 17 o 18 escaños". El Español (in Spanish). 2 February 2026.
  6. ^ "EP Aragón (2 feb): Azcón se deja un escaño y dependería de Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 2 February 2026.
  7. ^ "Azcón ganaría pero necesitaría a un Vox en fuerte subida aprovechando la división de la izquierda". El Debate (in Spanish). 2 February 2026.
  8. ^ "Azcón deberá pactar con Vox para gobernar Aragón pese a que el PSOE cae en picado". El Mundo (in Spanish). 1 February 2026.
  9. ^ "Encuesta HERALDO: el PP ganaría las elecciones del 8-F en Aragón, pero volvería a necesitar a Vox para gobernar". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 1 February 2026.
  10. ^ "[A] ARAGÓN. Encuesta A+M 01/02/2026: PP 37,2% (28/29), PSOE 24,2% (18/19), VOX 16,6% (12/13), CHA 6,7% (3/4), IU-SUMAR 4,3% (1/2), EXISTE 2,7% (2), SALF 2,3%, PODEMOS-AV 2,2%, PAR 1,4%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 1 February 2026.
  11. ^ "Azcón volverá a necesitar a un Vox crecido y Alegría se desploma". ABC (in Spanish). 1 February 2026.
  12. ^ "La exministra Pilar Alegría se arriesga al peor resultado del PSOE en Aragón". El País (in Spanish). 2 February 2026.
  13. ^ a b c "Informe preelectoral para las elecciones aragonesas. Ola 2. Febrero 2026" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 2 February 2026.
  14. ^ a b "Encuesta: El PP ganaría las elecciones en Aragón pero solo podría gobernar con Vox". El Periódico (in Spanish). 1 February 2026.
  15. ^ "EP Aragón (26 ene): Azcón, en manos de Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 26 January 2026.
  16. ^ "El PP gobernaría en Aragón sin mayoría absoluta, con otro batacazo del PSOE como en Extremadura". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 28 January 2026.
  17. ^ "[A] ARAGÓN. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 28/01/2026: PP 37,9% (30), PSOE 23,6% (18), VOX 16,9% (12), CHA 7,5% (4), IU-SUMAR 4,5% (1), EXISTE 3,5% (2), PODEMOS 2,4%, PAR 1,8%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 28 January 2026.
  18. ^ "Aragón se encamina a un escenario similar al de Extremadura: pequeña subida del PP y doble de diputados para Vox". El País (in Spanish). 23 January 2026.
  19. ^ a b c "Informe preelectoral para las elecciones aragonesas. Enero 2026" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 23 January 2026.
  20. ^ a b c "Encuesta de GAD3 para HOY ARAGÓN. Azcón se dispara al 37%, saca 10 escaños al PSOE y Vox vuelve a ser clave". Hoy Aragón (in Spanish). 24 January 2026.
  21. ^ "Barómetro Hoy Aragón. Estimación de voto autonómico en Aragón". GAD3 (in Spanish). 26 January 2026.
  22. ^ "Elecciones autonómicas en Aragón: el PP de Azcón ganaría con más escaños que toda la izquierda y Vox podría llegar a 11 diputados". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 January 2026.
  23. ^ "[A] ARAGÓN. Encuesta A+M 23/01/2026: PP 38,6% (29/30), PSOE 24,8% (18/19), VOX 14,7% (10/11), CHA 5,7% (3), EXISTE 3,4% (2/3), IU-SUMAR 3,3% (1), SALF 3,2% (0/1), PODEMOS 2,5% (0/1), PAR 1,5% (0/1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 23 January 2026.
  24. ^ "ElectoPanel Aragón (19 ene): PP y Vox siguen avanzando". Electomanía (in Spanish). 19 January 2026.
  25. ^ a b c d e "La sacudida electoral se amplía en Aragón: Jorge Azcón saca ya 10 escaños a Pilar Alegría y el PSOE sólo aventaja en 7 a Vox". El Español (in Spanish). 19 January 2026.
  26. ^ "Azcón roza la «investidura limpia», pero Vox puede decidir". La Razón (in Spanish). 19 January 2026.
  27. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2026. Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Estudio nº 3543. Enero 2026)". CIS (in Spanish). 22 January 2026.
  28. ^ "El fracaso histórico de Alegría en Aragón sirve a Azcón una victoria que no le permite escapar de Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 18 January 2026.
  29. ^ "EP Aragón (12 ene): Azcón coge fuelle, Alegría baja". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 January 2026.
  30. ^ "ElectoPanel Aragón (5 ene): la subida de Vox desinfla las opciones de Azcón". Electomanía (in Spanish). 5 January 2026.
  31. ^ "[A] ARAGÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/12/2025: PP 39,5% (29), PSOE 24,5% (18/19), VOX 17,8% (12/14), CHA 4,9% (2/3), EXISTE 4,3% (3), PODEMOS-AV 3,1% (1/2), IU 2,2%, PAR 1,7% (0/1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 26 December 2025.
  32. ^ "Azcón ganaría las elecciones del 8-F en Aragón pero seguiría necesitando a Vox, según el sondeo de A+M". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 21 December 2025.
  33. ^ "[A] ARAGÓN. Encuesta A+M 20/12/2025: PP 39,2% (29/30), PSOE 25,8% (17/19), VOX 15,5% (11/12), PODEMOS-IU 6,1% (3/4), CHA 5,8% (3), EXISTE 3,9% (2/3), PAR 1,5%". Electográfica (in Spanish). 21 December 2025.
  34. ^ "EP Aragón (14 dic): Azcón cerca de la absoluta, Vox sube, desplome socialista". Electomanía (in Spanish). 14 December 2025.
  35. ^ "Azcón ganaría las elecciones en Aragón en caso de adelanto y podría elegir entre Vox y Aragón Existe para gobernar". El Español (in Spanish). 4 December 2025.
  36. ^ "Azcón roza la mayoría absoluta y el PP duplica al PSOE de Alegría, que firma su peor resultado histórico en Aragón". Hoy Aragón (in Spanish). 22 July 2025.
  37. ^ "[A] ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos (interna PP) 22/07/2025: PP 40,6% (31/32), PSOE 24,1% (17/19), VOX 12,1% (7/9), CHA 6,5% (3/4), IU 5,3% (2/3), PODEMOS-AV 2,8% (0/1), EXISTE 2,6% (1/2), PAR 1,7% (0/1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 22 July 2025.
  38. ^ "Macroencuesta NC Report: Jorge Azcón se afianza en Aragón y el PSOE de Pilar Alegría pierde votos". La Razón (in Spanish). 4 June 2025.
  39. ^ "Alegría hunde al PSOE en su peor resultado en Aragón y el PP vislumbra gobernar sin Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 5 May 2025.
  40. ^ a b "El PP de Jorge Azcón ganaría las elecciones autonómicas en Aragón y podría gobernar sin depender de Vox". El Español (in Spanish). 23 April 2025.
  41. ^ "Sondeo electoral: Jorge Azcón se acercaría a la mayoría absoluta y podría sumar con Vox o Teruel Existe". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2025.
  42. ^ "El PP, en máximos históricos en Aragón: Azcón está a 1 solo escaño de la mayoría absoluta y Chueca la tiene en Zaragoza". El Español (in Spanish). 12 October 2024.
  43. ^ "El PP superaría su tope histórico de 2011 en Aragón y estaría a dos escaños de la absoluta". La Razón (in Spanish). 5 August 2024.
  44. ^ "El bipartidismo sigue al alza en Aragón tras la ruptura de Vox y la crisis de la izquierda". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 21 July 2024.
  45. ^ "El PP amplía su mayoría en Aragón pero Vox no pierde escaños y conserva la llave del Gobierno regional". Okdiario (in Spanish). 15 July 2024.
  46. ^ "El PP lograría un resultado histórico en Aragón con 31 diputados y el PSOE mantendría los 23". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2024.
  47. ^ "Vox captaría hasta un 10,5% de votos del PP y un 2,2% del PSOE: así se movería el mapa político de Aragón si hay elecciones". El Español (in Spanish). 4 December 2025.
  48. ^ a b "Tendencias y demandas municipales y autonómicas. Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Estudio nº 3503. Marzo 2025)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 2025.
  49. ^ a b c d e "Un 30% de los aragoneses prefieren a Azcón de presidente y la mitad creen que tiene más opciones que Pilar Alegría". El Español (in Spanish). 5 December 2025.
  50. ^ a b "Más de la mitad de los aragoneses creen que Azcón ganará a Pilar Alegría en las autonómicas de 2027". El Español (in Spanish). 23 April 2025.
Other
  1. ^ "Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón de 8 de febrero de 2026" (in Spanish). National Statistics Institute. 19 December 2025. Retrieved 23 December 2025.
  2. ^ Statute (2007), art. 33.
  3. ^ a b Statute (2007), art. 37.
  4. ^ LEAr (1987), art. 2.
  5. ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3.
  6. ^ Statute (2007), art. 36.
  7. ^ LEAr (1987), arts. 12–14.
  8. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Dublin: Trinity College Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  9. ^ a b c d e f Decreto de 15 de diciembre de 2025, del Presidente de Aragón, por el que se convocan elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (Decree). Official Gazette of Aragon (in Spanish). 15 December 2025. Retrieved 16 December 2025.
  10. ^ LEAr (1987), art. 15.
  11. ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 46 & 48.
  12. ^ a b c LEAr (1987), art. 11.
  13. ^ LOREG (1985), art. 42.
  14. ^ Statute (2007), art. 52.
  15. ^ Statute (2007), art. 48.
  16. ^ Esteban, Paloma (29 September 2025). "Varias comunidades del PP sopesan adelantar elecciones en 2026". ABC (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  17. ^ D. Prieto, Alberto (2 October 2025). "El PP planea un 'superdomingo' electoral en Baleares, Andalucía, Extremadura y Aragón adelante Sánchez las generales o no". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  18. ^ Gutiérrez, Lucía (3 October 2025). "El PP no descarta ningún escenario: del «superdomingo» a las elecciones en cascada". Demócrata (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  19. ^ Lamet, Juanma (1 October 2025). "El PP ve posible un adelanto electoral en Extremadura y Aragón y contempla ya un 'superdomingo' autonómico en marzo". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  20. ^ Carmona, José (2 October 2025). "El 'superdomingo electoral' autonómico: un plebiscito sobre Sánchez con riesgos para el PP". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  21. ^ García, Cristina (1 October 2025). "Azcón se desmarca de Extremadura y tomará "sus propias decisiones" sobre un posible adelanto electoral". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  22. ^ Arana, Ismael (1 October 2025). "Azcón se desliga del adelanto electoral que plantea Extremadura si no hay presupuestos". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  23. ^ Carnicero, Laura (3 October 2025). "El Gobierno de Aragón confía en tener presupuestos y evitar las elecciones en Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  24. ^ Carnicero, Laura (21 October 2025). "Bendodo "confía" en la gestión de Azcón y no aprieta por un adelanto electoral en Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  25. ^ Poveda, Ismael (20 October 2025). "Guerra PP-Vox en Aragón por la inmigración y el Pacto Verde ante la hipótesis de un adelanto electoral". El Mundo (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  26. ^ Ramos, Ana Belén (21 October 2025). "La ruptura de PP y Vox en Aragón y la tensión en Extremadura reabre el ruido electoral". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  27. ^ Poveda, Ismael (21 October 2025). "Vox rompe toda posibilidad de negociar los presupuestos con el PP en Aragón y deja a Azcón al borde de una segunda prórroga". El Mundo (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  28. ^ Martínez, Virginia (21 October 2025). "La negociación de los Presupuestos de Aragón salta por los aires tras el choque por un asesor de Vox que publicó mensajes racistas". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  29. ^ "Vox está dispuesto a quedar como "los malos" e ir a elecciones en Extremadura y Aragón: no descarta un "superdomingo"". El Periódico (in Spanish). Cáceres. 8 October 2025. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  30. ^ "El PP otorga libertad a Azcón y Guardiola para convocar elecciones ante la falta de presupuesto y señala a Vox como responsable de explicar su rechazo". Demócrata (in Spanish). Agencias. 22 October 2025. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  31. ^ "Guardiola amenaza con adelantar elecciones en Extremadura si PSOE y Vox bloquean definitivamente sus Presupuestos". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Madrid / Mérida. Servimedia. 23 October 2025. Retrieved 23 October 2025.
  32. ^ De la Hoz, Cristina (28 October 2025). "La decisión de Guardiola de ir a elecciones y el respaldo de Feijóo empujan al aragonés Azcón, que no quiere urnas". El Independiente (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 October 2025.
  33. ^ H. Valgañón, Sergio; Alonso Freire, Mariano (23 October 2025). "Feijóo da luz verde a las elecciones adelantadas en Aragón, pero la DGA "no las contempla" todavía". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 23 October 2025.
  34. ^ "Azcón sigue apostando por un acuerdo con Vox en Presupuestos y dice que el adelanto electoral es la "última opción"" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 28 October 2025. Retrieved 28 October 2025.
  35. ^ Riveiro, Aitor (28 October 2025). "Feijóo justifica que Aragón no convoque elecciones como Extremadura porque está "preparando los presupuestos"". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 October 2025.
  36. ^ Ramos, Ana Belén (23 October 2025). "Guardiola convocará elecciones en Extremadura si se mantiene la pinza PSOE-Vox a los presupuestos". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 October 2025.
  37. ^ Sanz, Gabriel (25 October 2025). "Azcón es reacio al adelanto electoral en Aragón pero acepta el 'superdomingo' que quiere Feijóo". Vozpópuli (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 October 2025.
  38. ^ H. Valgañón, Sergio (25 October 2025). "Azcón se dará margen para decidir el futuro político de Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 25 October 2025.
  39. ^ "Azcón convocará elecciones en Aragón si no consigue aprobar los presupuestos: "No voy a agarrarme al poder"" (in Spanish). RTVE. 19 November 2025. Retrieved 25 November 2025.
  40. ^ Carnicero, Laura (25 November 2025). "Azcón, en el foro España 360: "Si no hay presupuesto por segundo año, lo lógico es ir a elecciones en Aragón"". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 25 November 2025.
  41. ^ Faci, Luis (24 November 2025). "Azcón da más pistas sobre un eventual adelanto electoral en Aragón: no coincidirá con Castilla y León". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 November 2025.
  42. ^ Ramos, Ana Belén (25 November 2025). "Vox persiste en la ruptura en Aragón y el PP busca hueco para ir a elecciones en 2026". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 November 2025.
  43. ^ D. Prieto, Alberto (6 December 2025). "Azcón se da una prórroga de dos semanas para negociar con Vox el Presupuesto: si no hay pacto, Aragón irá a votar en febrero". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 December 2025.
  44. ^ Guirado, Joan; Montañés, Erika (10 December 2025). "Azcón se inclina por disolver las Cortes el lunes y convocar los aragoneses a las urnas el 8 de febrero". ABC (in Spanish). Madrid / Zaragoza. Retrieved 10 December 2025.
  45. ^ Libreros, Iván (10 December 2025). "Azcón convocará elecciones en Aragón la semana que viene tras recabar el apoyo total de Génova". Vozpópuli (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 December 2025.
  46. ^ Lamet, Juanma (11 December 2025). "Azcón adelanta las elecciones en Aragón al 8 de febrero tras el portazo de Vox a sus Presupuestos". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 December 2025.
  47. ^ García de Blas, Elsa (12 December 2025). "Aragón celebrará elecciones anticipadas el 8 de febrero". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 December 2025.
  48. ^ Faci, Luis (12 December 2025). "Los aragoneses vivirán su primer adelanto electoral tras una legislatura marcada por la debilidad parlamentaria del PP". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 December 2025.
  49. ^ "Los partidos aragoneses ponen en marcha la maquinaria electoral" (in Spanish). Zaragoza: Onda Cero. 15 December 2025. Retrieved 15 December 2025.
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Bibliography

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